Match Info

Super League - Round 1

Date: 8 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Wuhan Sports Centre (Wuhan)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	Migu


	Wuhan Three Towns		Beijing Guoan

	1	X	2
	5.25	4.5	1.49	Watch
	4.2	4	1.66
	5.15	4.45	1.52	Watch
	4.93	4.55	1.53
	4.99	4.46	1.56	Watch
	5	4.2	1.53
	5.67	4.64	1.53
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.03 ↑ (3.66)	4.4 ↑ (4.06)	1.55 ↓ (1.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wuhan Three Towns
18.5%

Draw
21.2%

Beijing Guoan
60.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.5%

23%

51.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wuhan Three Towns has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Wuhan Three Towns's form might have worsened.

Beijing Guoan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Beijing Guoan's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Wuhan Three Towns - Beijing Guoan Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Beijing Guoan (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Wuhan Three Towns (2.10) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1.5 - Beijing Guoan (2.26) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Beijing Guoan will win (10 of 10 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Wuhan Three Towns (votes: 1 - 25%). Beijing Guoan (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Fang Jingqi (G) 23. Ming Tian 2. He Guan (C) 3. Yamkam M. 28. Wang Denny 15. Chen Zhechao 9. Zheng Haoqian 20. Adriano Firmino 21. Xiong J. 24. Jiang L. 10. Bevis K.	34. Hou Sen (G) 27. Wang Gang 24. Abdugheni Abduhamit 5. Ramos G. 47. Deng J. 20. Nkololo B. 7. Serginho 8. Konte A. 11. Lin Liangming 29. Abreu F. (C) 9. Zhang Yuning
Substitutes
17. Abdugheni Halit 29. Cadiz J. 31. Guo Jiayu (G) 12. Liao Chengjian 5. Li Shenyuan 6. Long Wei 8. Wang Jinxian 37. Wang Kang 14. Xia Xiaoxi 35. Yu Tianle 13. Zheng Kaimu 30. Zhong Jinbao	26. Bai Yang 37. Cao Yongjing 6. Chi Zhongguo 30. Fan Shuangjie 16. Feng Boxuan 36. Jia Feifan 35. Jiang Wenhao 18. Wang Yu 38. Wei J. 2. Wu Shaocong 39. Zhang Jianzhi (G) 10. Zhang Xizhe
Coaches
Mora B.	Montgomery N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
40', Nkololo B. 🟨,
45', 0 - 1, Abreu F. ⚽, Wang Gang (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
52', 0 - 2, Zhang Yuning ⚽, Wang Gang (A),
60', Chen Zhechao ↓, Cadiz J. ↑,
60', Zheng Haoqian ↓, Zhong Jinbao ↑,
63', Lin Liangming ↓, Cao Yongjing ↑,
69', Jiang L. ↓, Wang Jinxian ↑,
71', Zhang Yuning ↓, Zhang Xizhe ↑,
71', Serginho ↓, Jia Feifan ↑,
73', Abdugheni Abduhamit 🟨,
82', Nkololo B. ↓, Wei J. ↑,
82', Wang Gang ↓, Chi Zhongguo ↑,
82', Xiong J. ↓, Long Wei ↑,
82', Wang Denny ↓, Wang Kang ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wuhan Three Towns won 1.

Beijing Guoan may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Beijing Guoan is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Beijing Guoan: Fan Shuangjie (Inactive) Han Jiaqi (Knee Injury) Spajic U. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Beijing Guoan: Li Lei (Injury)

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Wuhan Three Towns won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:13. (average 1.9:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Wuhan Three Towns won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:7. (average 2.5:1.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Beijing Guoan	26	11	10	5	49:33	16	38
15	Wuhan Three Towns	26	5	11	10	39:46	-7	21

Last Results with these Odds

Beijing Guoan - the odds 1.81 are the expected chance of winning is 51.54%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wuhan Three Towns FC
Chinese Super League
22.11.25	Wuhan Three Towns - Shandong Taishan	1:5 ✺
02.11.25	Qingdao Hainiu - Wuhan Three Towns	1:0 ✺
24.10.25	Wuhan Three Towns - Shenzhen Peng City	1:2 ✺
19.10.25	Dalian Young Boy - Wuhan Three Towns	0:0 ✺
26.09.25	Shanghai Port - Wuhan Three Towns	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LLLTL
- Beijing Guoan
Chinese Super Cup
01.03.26	Shanghai Port - Beijing Guoan	0:2 ✺
AFC Champions League 2
11.12.25	Beijing Guoan - Macarthur FC	1:2 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
06.12.25	Beijing Guoan - Henan Songshan Longmen	3:0 ✺
AFC Champions League 2
27.11.25	Cong An Ha Noi - Beijing Guoan	2:1 ✺
Chinese Super League
22.11.25	Beijing Guoan - Meizhou Hakka	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Super League
25.08.25	Beijing Guoan - Wuhan Three Towns	4:0
15.04.25	Wuhan Three Towns - Beijing Guoan	4:4
07.07.24	Beijing Guoan - Wuhan Three Towns	1:2
30.03.24	Wuhan Three Towns - Beijing Guoan	0:1
16.07.23	Beijing Guoan - Wuhan Three Towns	1:1
20.04.23	Wuhan Three Towns - Beijing Guoan	1:1
08.11.22	Beijing Guoan - Wuhan Three Towns	0:2

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