Match Info

CHINA: SUPER LEAGUE - ROUND 27

Date: 30 September 2023, Saturday

Location: Workers' Stadium (Beijing)


	Beijing Guoan		Dalian Pro

	1	X	2
	1.5	4.5	6	Watch
	1.47	4.33	5.75
	1.47	4.5	6	Watch
	1.5	4.63	5.98
	1.44	4.2	5.8
	1.49	4.4	6.1
	1.48	4.4	5.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↓ (1.55)	4.42 ↑ (4.41)	5.92 ↑ (5.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Beijing Guoan
63.1%

Draw
21.1%

Dalian Pro
15.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.6%

21.2%

18.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62%

20.7%

17.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Beijing Guoan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Dalian Pro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Beijing Guoan than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dalian Pro than the current prediction. (+2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	33.3%	0%

Beijing Guoan - Dalian Pro Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Beijing Guoan will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
34. Hou Sen (G) 27. Wang Gang 32. Ngadeu M. 28. Zhang Chengdong 4. Li Lei 23. Yennaris N. 6. Chi Zhongguo 22. Yu Dabao (C) 17. Yang Liyu 29. Goncalves Abreu F. 7. Kang Sang-Woo	30. Wu Yan (G) 11. Mamba S. 13. Wang Yaopeng 6. Wang Xianjun 8. Zhu Ting (C) 5. Wu Wei 31. Lu Peng 23. Shang Yin 10. Tsonev B. 39. Yan Xiangchuang 17. Manzoki C.
Substitutes
33. Abbas N. (G) 26. Bai Yang 44. Duan D. 16. Feng B. 43. Jiang Wenhao 36. Liang Shaowen 19. Muhmet N. 8. Piao Cheng 20. Wang Z. 39. Yan Yu 14. Zou Dehai (G)	32. Ablet Kudirat (G) 40. Bosancic N. 22. Chen Rong 26. Cui Ming'an 28. Fei Yu 2. Lin Longchang 16. Liu Le 38. Lu Zhuoyi 9. Shan Huanhuan 35. Wang Yu 3. Zhao Jianan 15. Zhao Jianbo
Coaches
Soares R.	Xie Hui

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 6 and 14).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Beijing Guoan won 2.

Recent matches Beijing Guoan is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Dalian Pro is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Dalian Pro could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Beijing Guoan is a favorite.

Last 15 head-to-head matches Beijing Guoan won 10 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 33-17.

Including matches at home between the teams Beijing Guoan won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 21-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Beijing Guoan
Chinese Super League
22.09.23	Changchun Yatai - Beijing Guoan	1:1 ✺
15.09.23	Beijing Guoan - Zhejiang Professional	0:1 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
31.08.23	Beijing Guoan - Shandong Taishan	1:2 penalties ✺
Chinese Super League
26.08.23	Cangzhou Mighty Lions - Beijing Guoan	1:5 ✺
19.08.23	Beijing Guoan - Shanghai Shenhua	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 TLLWW
- Dalian Pro
Chinese FA Cup
26.09.23	Dalian Pro - Shandong Taishan	0:2 ✺
Chinese Super League
23.09.23	Dalian Pro - Shandong Taishan	0:0 ✺
17.09.23	Tianjin Jinmen Tiger - Dalian Pro	1:0 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
30.08.23	Dalian Pro - Tianjin Jinmen Tiger	2:0 ✺
Chinese Super League
26.08.23	Zhejiang Professional - Dalian Pro	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 LTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Super League
09.06.23	Dalian Pro - Beijing Guoan	2:2
05.12.22	Beijing Guoan - Dalian Pro	1:3
24.09.22	Dalian Pro - Beijing Guoan	2:2
31.07.21	Dalian Pro - Beijing Guoan	0:1
04.05.21	Beijing Guoan - Dalian Pro	2:0
15.08.19	Dalian Pro - Beijing Guoan	0:2
28.04.19	Beijing Guoan - Dalian Pro	4:1

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