The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Beijing Guoan 56.1%
Draw 21.6%
Shandong Taishan 22.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
53%
23.6%
23.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
53.9%
23.2%
23%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Beijing Guoan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)
Shandong Taishan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Beijing Guoan than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shandong Taishan than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
92.3%
7.7%
0%
Beijing Guoan - Shandong Taishan Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
DNB - Beijing Guoan (1.34) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Beijing Guoan will win
(12 of 13 users predict this - 92.31%). Confidence interval (95%): 77.83% โ 100%.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Beijing Guoan (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
34. Hou Sen (G) 3. He Yupeng 23. Dawhan 5. Ramos G. 26. Bai Yang 20. Nkololo B. 8. Konte A. 7. Serginho 11. Lin Liangming 9. Zhang Yuning 29. Abreu F. (C)
14. Wang Dalei (C) 28. Mijit Mewlan 33. Gao Zhunyi 35. Huang Zhengyu 5. Zheng Zheng 11. Liu Yang 29. Chen Pu 8. Guilherme Madruga 7. Xie Wenneng 10. Qazaishvili V. 19. Zeca
Substitutes
24. Abdugheni Abduhamit 37. Cao Yongjing 6. Chi Zhongguo 47. Deng Jiefu 30. Fan Shuangjie 36. Jia Feifan 31. Liu S. (G) 18. Wang Yu 17. Yang Liyu 21. Yue Tze-Nam 39. Zhang Jianzhi (G)
24. Duan Liuyu 36. Liu Qiwei (G) 41. Lu J. 38. Memet Imran 17. Merkies R. 3. Peng Xiao 42. Peng Y. 15. Shi Songchen 2. Yang Ruiqi 34. Yin Jiaxi 1. Yu Jinyong (G)
Coaches
Montgomery N.
Han Peng
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
23', Zheng Zheng 🟥,
36', Nkololo B. 🟨,
36', Chen Pu ↓, Peng Xiao ↑,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', He Yupeng ↓, Yue Tze-Nam ↑,
58', Nkololo B. ↓, Cao Yongjing ↑,
61', Zhang Yuning ↓, Yang Liyu ↑,
63', Huang Zhengyu 🟨,
74', 1 - 0, Serginho ⚽, Cao Yongjing (A),
75', Xie Wenneng ↓, Merkies R. ↑,
81', 2 - 0, Lin Liangming ⚽, Cao Yongjing (A),
85', Abreu F. ↓, Chi Zhongguo ↑,
86', Bai Yang ↓, Deng Jiefu ↑,
89', Qazaishvili V. ↓, Lu J. ↑,
89', Huang Zhengyu ↓, Memet Imran ↑,
Preview
The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 7 and 5)
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Beijing Guoan won 2.
Beijing Guoan is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Shandong Taishan has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).
Shandong Taishan may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Shandong Taishan has had a series of away games.
In this match, Beijing Guoan is seen as the favorite.
There will not play in Beijing Guoan: Spajic U.
(Knee Injury)
There will not play in Shandong Taishan: Alvaro P.
(Injury)
Cryzan
(Muscle Injury)
There are questionable in Beijing Guoan: Han Jiaqi
(Knee Injury)
He Yupeng
(Foot Injury)
Wang Gang
(Injury)
Wu Shaocong
(Injury)
Zhang Xizhe
(Injury)
There are questionable in Shandong Taishan: Zeca
(Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Beijing Guoan won 4 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 27:33. (average 1.4:1.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Beijing Guoan won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 20:12. (average 2:1.2).
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Hou Sen (G) 
Dawhan 
Ramos G. 
Nkololo B. 
Konte A. 
Abreu F. (C) 
Qazaishvili V. 
Yue Tze-Nam 
Montgomery N. 
