Match Info

Super League - Round 6

Date: 17 June 2025, Tuesday

Location: Workers' Stadium (Beijing)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	Migu, ZhiBo8


	Beijing Guoan		Qingdao West Coast

	1	X	2
	1.33	5.25	7.5	Watch
	1.41	4.6	6
	1.45	4.7	6	Watch
	1.35	5.3	8.44
	1.46	4.58	6.22	Watch
	1.33	5	7.5
	1.35	5.44	8	Watch
	1.45	4.7	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↓ (1.48)	4.95 ↑ (4.63)	6.96 ↑ (5.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Beijing Guoan
67.5%

Draw
19%

Qingdao West Coast
13.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.2%

20.2%

16.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.4%

19.2%

15.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Beijing Guoan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

Qingdao West Coast has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Beijing Guoan than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Qingdao West Coast than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
78.6%	7.1%	14.3%

Beijing Guoan - Qingdao West Coast Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Beijing Guoan (votes: 3 - 60%). Qingdao West Coast (votes: 2 - 40%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Qingdao West Coast (2.44) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

AH +1.25 - Qingdao West Coast (1.73) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Beijing Guoan will win (10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.24% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Beijing Guoan (votes: 3 - 30%). Qingdao West Coast (votes: 7 - 70%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
34. Hou Sen (G) 27. Wang Gang (C) 15. Spajic U. 5. Ngadeu M. 2. Wu Shaocong 37. Cao Yongjing 23. Dawhan 8. Guga 11. Lin Liangming 7. Serginho 29. Abreu F.	1. Li H. (G) 22. Yang A. 15. Wang Peng 5. Riccieli (C) 28. Zhang Chengdong 6. Xu Bin 23. Matheus Indio 10. Da Luz N. 8. Zhang X. 11. Davidson 9. Yakubu A.
Substitutes
6. Chi Zhongguo 18. Fang Hao 30. Fan Shuangjie 16. Feng Boxuan 4. Li Lei 28. Li Ruiyue 19. Muhmet N. 25. Tuluo Z. (G) 20. Wang Ziming 10. Zhang Xizhe 21. Zhang Yuan 9. Zhang Yuning	17. Chen Po-Liang 32. Chen Yuhao 19. Ding Haifeng 24. Duan Liuyu 14. Feng Gang 56. Gao Di 20. He Longhai 39. Liu B. 30. Liu Xiaolong 35. Shi Xiaton (G) 36. Sun Jie 3. Zhao Honglue
Coaches
Setien Q.	Shao J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
10', Lin Liangming ↓, Zhang Yuan ↑,
24', 1 - 0, Li H. (Own goal),
27', Xu Bin 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
50', Davidson 🟨,
57', Zhang X. ↓, Duan Liuyu ↑,
57', Zhang Chengdong ↓, Zhao Honglue ↑,
61', Serginho ↓, Wang Ziming ↑,
61', Abreu F. ↓, Zhang Yuning ↑,
68', Da Luz N. ↓, He Longhai ↑,
71', Yang A. 🟨,
72', Yakubu A. ↓, Gao Di ↑,
73', Zhao Honglue 🟨,
80', Spajic U. ↓, Fan Shuangjie ↑,
80', Cao Yongjing ↓, Muhmet N. ↑,
90+7', Wu Shaocong 🟨,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 5 and 6).

Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.

In this match Beijing Guoan is the unquestionable favorite.

There will not play in Beijing Guoan: He Yupeng (Inactive)

There will not play in Qingdao West Coast: Liu Langzhou (Suspended)

There are questionable in Qingdao West Coast: Shan Huanhuan (Inactive)

Last 3 head-to-head matches Beijing Guoan won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 10:4 (average 3.3:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Beijing Guoan won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Beijing Guoan
Chinese Super League
14.06.25	Beijing Guoan - Changchun Yatai	2:1 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
21.05.25	Shijiazhuang Gongfu - Beijing Guoan	0:5 ✺
Chinese Super League
17.05.25	Qingdao Hainiu - Beijing Guoan	1:1 ✺
10.05.25	Beijing Guoan - Shenzhen Peng City	3:1 ✺
05.05.25	Dalian Young Boy - Beijing Guoan	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WWTWW
- Qingdao West Coast
Chinese Super League
14.06.25	Qingdao West Coast - Yunnan Yukun	0:0 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
21.05.25	Yanbian Longding - Qingdao West Coast	0:2 ✺
Chinese Super League
17.05.25	Chengdu Rongcheng - Qingdao West Coast	1:1 ✺
10.05.25	Shanghai Shenhua - Qingdao West Coast	4:0 ✺
06.05.25	Qingdao West Coast - Shenzhen Peng City	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 TWTLT

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Super League
11.08.24	Qingdao West Coast - Beijing Guoan	2:2
21.04.24	Beijing Guoan - Qingdao West Coast	4:1
Chinese FA Cup
26.07.23	Qingdao West Coast - Beijing Guoan	1:4

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