Match Info

Date: 9 October 2026, Friday


	Qingdao Hainiu		Beijing Guoan

	1	X	2
	6.25	4.33	1.41	Watch
	6.00	4.80	1.43	Watch
	5.85	5.13	1.43
	5.7	4.74	1.46	Watch
	5.70	5.00	1.40
	6.22	4.93	1.46
	5.80	4.70	1.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.93 ↑ (5.18)	4.8 ↑ (4.56)	1.43 ↓ (1.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Qingdao Hainiu
15.7%

Draw
19.4%

Beijing Guoan
64.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18%

20.4%

61.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Qingdao Hainiu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Beijing Guoan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

Qingdao Hainiu - Beijing Guoan Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

A struggling side attempts to pull off an upset against a high-flying opponent (ranked 16th in the Relegation - League One and 3rd).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Qingdao Hainiu won 1.

Qingdao Hainiu is on a difficult losing run (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Beijing Guoan shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Bookmakers give the edge to Beijing Guoan for this game.

Our forecast points to a victory for Beijing Guoan in today's match, at odds of 1.45.

In the last 10 head-to-head meetings, Qingdao Hainiu has recorded 2 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 16:27 (averaging 1.6:2.7 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Qingdao Hainiu against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 3 draws, and 0 losses, with 8:6 goals (averaging 2:1.5 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Beijing Guoan	26	11	10	5	49:33	16	38
16	Qingdao Hainiu	26	6	3	17	34:53	-19	14

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Qingdao Hainiu
Chinese Super League
05.09.26	Dalian Young Boy - Qingdao Hainiu	2:1 ✺
29.08.26	Qingdao Hainiu - Wuhan Three Towns	1:5 ✺
23.08.26	Shanghai Port - Qingdao Hainiu	2:1 ✺
14.08.26	Shandong Taishan - Qingdao Hainiu	3:1 ✺
08.08.26	Qingdao Hainiu - Shanghai Shenhua	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Beijing Guoan
AFC Champions League
15.09.26	Beijing Guoan - Pohang Steelers	3:1 ✺
Chinese Super League
05.09.26	Shanghai Port - Beijing Guoan	0:0 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
01.09.26	Beijing Guoan - Lanzhou Longyuan	3:1 ✺
Chinese Super League
28.08.26	Dalian Young Boy - Beijing Guoan	1:1 ✺
22.08.26	Beijing Guoan - Yunnan Yukun	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WTWTT

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Super League
15.05.26	Beijing Guoan - Qingdao Hainiu	4:2
26.10.25	Beijing Guoan - Qingdao Hainiu	2:4
17.05.25	Qingdao Hainiu - Beijing Guoan	1:1
19.10.24	Beijing Guoan - Qingdao Hainiu	6:0
21.05.24	Qingdao Hainiu - Beijing Guoan	1:1
22.07.23	Beijing Guoan - Qingdao Hainiu	2:0
25.04.23	Qingdao Hainiu - Beijing Guoan	3:1

Qingdao Hainiu - Beijing Guoan: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide