Match Info

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B - Round 21

Date: 8 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Estádio Municipal de Aveiro (Aveiro)


	Beira-Mar		Leça

	1	X	2
	2.92	3.15	2.2
	3.37	3.2	2.02
	3.26	3.29	2.07	Watch
	3.2	2.9	2.1
	3.35	3.2	2.04
	2.65	3.15	2.17
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.13 ↓ (3.38)	3.15 ↓ (3.2)	2.1 ↑ (2.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Beira-Mar
28.7%

Draw
28.5%

Leça
42.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.8%

28.3%

44.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.2%

28.7%

44.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Beira-Mar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Leça has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Beira-Mar than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leça than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Beira Mar - Leça Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
23', 0 - 1, ⚽,
26', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 7 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group).

Beira-Mar has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Leça is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Leça is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Beira-Mar won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 2:7. (average 0.4:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Beira-Mar won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Beira Mar	4	0	3	1	4:6	-2	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Beira-Mar
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
01.03.26	Vila Real - Beira-Mar	2:1 ✺
22.02.26	Beira-Mar - Rebordosa	1:3 ✺
15.02.26	Aparecida - Beira-Mar	1:5 ✺
07.02.26	Beira-Mar - Resende	1:0 ✺
25.01.26	Salgueiros 08 - Beira-Mar	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LLWWT
- Leça FC
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
01.03.26	Leça - Anadia	1:1 ✺
22.02.26	Gouveia - Leça	0:3 ✺
15.02.26	Leça - União Lamas	4:0 ✺
08.02.26	Alpendorada - Leça	1:1 ✺
25.01.26	Leça - Cinfães	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 TWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
01.11.25	Leça - Beira-Mar	2:1
12.01.25	Leça - Beira-Mar	3:0
18.08.24	Beira-Mar - Leça	0:1
08.04.23	Beira-Mar - Leça	1:0
18.12.22	Leça - Beira-Mar	1:0

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