Match Info

PORTUGAL: CAMPEONATO DE PORTUGAL - GROUP B - ROUND 20

Date: 18 February 2024, Sunday

Location: Estádio Municipal de Aveiro (Aveiro)


	Beira-Mar		Valadares Gaia

	1	X	2
	1.55	3.5	5.25
	1.57	3.5	4.99
	1.56	3.81	6.04
	1.57	3.91	5.73
	1.57	3.6	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↓ (1.76)	3.66 ↑ (3.31)	5.48 ↑ (4.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Beira-Mar
58.4%

Draw
24.9%

Valadares Gaia
16.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.6%

28%

19.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.9%

27.8%

19.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Beira-Mar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Beira-Mar's performance.

Valadares Gaia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Beira-Mar than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Beira-Mar that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valadares Gaia than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

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Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 6 and 12 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Beira-Mar is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Valadares Gaia is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Beira-Mar is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Beira-Mar won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Beira-Mar won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Beira-Mar
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
11.02.24	Amarante - Beira-Mar	1:1 ✺
04.02.24	Beira-Mar - Rebordosa	1:3 ✺
28.01.24	Paredes - Beira-Mar	2:0 ✺
21.01.24	Beira-Mar - Marco 09	2:1 ✺
14.01.24	Oliveira do Douro - Beira-Mar	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 TLLWW
- Valadares Gaia
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
11.02.24	Vitoria Guimarães B - Valadares Gaia	4:0 ✺
04.02.24	Valadares Gaia - Amarante	2:1 ✺
28.01.24	Rebordosa - Valadares Gaia	1:0 ✺
20.01.24	Valadares Gaia - Paredes	1:4 ✺
14.01.24	Marco 09 - Valadares Gaia	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
28.10.23	Valadares Gaia - Beira-Mar	1:1
22.01.23	Valadares Gaia - Beira-Mar	0:2
25.09.22	Beira-Mar - Valadares Gaia	1:1
10.04.21	Beira-Mar - Valadares Gaia	2:1
17.02.21	Valadares Gaia - Beira-Mar	2:1

Beira-Mar - Valadares Gaia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide