Match Info

Ligat ha'Al - Round 7

Date: 20 October 2025, Monday

Location: Teddy Stadium (Jerusalem)

Referee: Grinfeld O. (Isr)

Where to Watch on TV:


Israel	Sport 1


	Beitar Jerusalem		MS Ashdod

	1	X	2
	1.44	4.75	5.75	Watch
				Watch
	1.43	4.65	5.7
	1.48	4.76	5.83
	1.49	4.76	5.33	Watch
	1.43	4.7	6.18	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↑ (1.42)	4.72 ↓ (4.85)	5.76 ↓ (6)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Beitar Jerusalem
64.1%

Draw
19.7%

MS Ashdod
16.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.4%

19.1%

15.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.4%

18.5%

15%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Beitar Jerusalem has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

MS Ashdod has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Beitar Jerusalem than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for MS Ashdod than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Beitar Jerusalem - MS Ashdod Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Beitar Jerusalem will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
55. Miguel Silva (G) 14. Elimelech R. 4. Carabali B. 44. Gadrani L. 16. Cohen Y. 8. Yarin L. 15. Micha D. (C) 77. Atzili O. 10. Yona A. 11. Muzie T. 9. Kalu J.	25. Niemczycki K. (G) 87. Amer M. 4. Awany T. 3. Diakite I. 14. Muche N. 9. Harush S. 10. Tamam I. 15. Ben Zaken T. (C) 8. Gordana R. 29. Batoum J. 13. Ansah E.
Substitutes
30. Abergil R. 6. Ben Shimol Z. 5. Cohen G. 20. Dahan O. 24. Hugi D. 18. Morozov G. 22. Ozer Y. (G) 42. Tavares A. 36. Zargary A.	23. Azo O. N. 7. Dabush N. 45. Dasa O. 1. Karmi R. (G) 26. Kimvuidi K. 55. Meir R. 98. Nachmani S. 97. Nangis L. 20. Tal R.
Coaches
Itzhaki B.	Silvas H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
18', Gadrani L. 🟨,
27', Ansah E. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
62', Yona A. ↓, Ben Shimol Z. ↑,
63', Harush S. 🟨,
69', Harush S. ↓, Azo O. N. ↑,
69', Muzie T. ↓, Hugi D. ↑,
84', Batoum J. ↓, Kimvuidi K. ↑,
88', Elimelech R. 🟨,
88', Kalu J. ↓, Abergil R. ↑,
90+2', Gordana R. 🟨,
90+2', Gordana R. ↓, Dasa O. ↑,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligat ha'Al (Championship Group: ) and 9 in the zone Ligat ha'Al (Relegation Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Beitar Jerusalem won 2.

Beitar Jerusalem is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Ashdod has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Beitar Jerusalem is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Beitar Jerusalem: Shua Y. (Red Card) Yarin L. (Injury)

There are questionable in Beitar Jerusalem: Mendy A. (Injury)

There are questionable in Ashdod: Ben Zaken T. (Knee Injury) Hakmon S. (Heart Problems)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Beitar Jerusalem won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 28:28. (average 1.4:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Beitar Jerusalem won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:15. (average 1.3:1.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Beitar Jerusalem
Israeli Ligat haAl
04.10.25	Beitar Jerusalem - Hapoel Petah Tikva	5:2 ✺
27.09.25	Maccabi Bnei Raina - Beitar Jerusalem	1:3 ✺
20.09.25	Beitar Jerusalem - Ironi Kiryat Shmona	2:1 ✺
15.09.25	Hapoel Tel Aviv - Beitar Jerusalem	3:2 ✺
31.08.25	Beitar Jerusalem - Maccabi Haifa	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WWWLT
- MS Ashdod
Israeli Ligat haAl
04.10.25	MS Ashdod - Maccabi Bnei Raina	2:0 ✺
27.09.25	Ironi Kiryat Shmona - MS Ashdod	1:2 ✺
20.09.25	MS Ashdod - Hapoel Tel Aviv	2:6 ✺
15.09.25	Maccabi Haifa - MS Ashdod	5:1 ✺
30.08.25	MS Ashdod - Hapoel Bnei Sakhnin	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Israeli Ligat haAl
14.12.24	MS Ashdod - Beitar Jerusalem	2:3
25.08.24	Beitar Jerusalem - MS Ashdod	3:2
Israeli Toto Cup
03.08.24	MS Ashdod - Beitar Jerusalem	4:3
Israeli Ligat haAl
06.05.24	Beitar Jerusalem - MS Ashdod	0:0
08.01.24	Beitar Jerusalem - MS Ashdod	1:1
04.09.23	MS Ashdod - Beitar Jerusalem	1:2
11.02.23	Beitar Jerusalem - MS Ashdod	2:1

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