Match Info

Conference League - Qualification - Semi-finals

Date: 14 August 2025, Thursday

Location: Stadionul Ilie Oană (Ploiesti)

Referee: Raczkowski P. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Israel	Sport 1
Latvia	Sportacentrs TV, TV4


	Beitar Jerusalem		Riga

	1	X	2
	2.1	4	2.75	Watch
	2.25	3.7	2.6	Watch
	2.12	3.7	2.92	Watch
	2.17	3.97	2.76
	1.46	4.57	6.11	Watch
				Watch
	2.22	4.03	2.92	Watch
	2.02	3.55	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↑ (2)	3.93 ↑ (3.6)	3.34 ↑ (3.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Beitar Jerusalem
46.8%

Draw
24.4%

Riga
28.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.3%

25.7%

28%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.7%

26.5%

27.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Beitar Jerusalem has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Riga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Beitar Jerusalem than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Riga than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
63.6%	22.7%	13.6%

Beitar Jerusalem - Riga Predictions

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Beitar Jerusalem will win (votes: 14 - 63.6%). Riga will win (votes: 3 - 13.6%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 22.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Beitar Jerusalem: 43.5% – 83.7%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Beitar Jerusalem (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Beitar Jerusalem (1.63) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Riga (2.17) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.25 - Riga (1.89) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Beitar Jerusalem (votes: 6 - 60%). Riga (votes: 2 - 20%). Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
55. Miguel Silva (G) 2. Zasno Z. 4. Carabali B. 5. Cohen G. (C) 29. Mendy A. 10. Yona A. 42. Tavares A. 8. Yarin L. 77. Atzili O. 9. Kalu J. 11. Muzie T.	1. Zviedris K. (G) 13. Jurkovskis R. 21. Musah B. 34. Cernomordijs A. (C) 3. Ngom M. 40. Ankrah A. 22. Diop M. 4. Galo O. 8. Iago Siqueira 20. Grimaldo J. 10. Reginaldo Ramires
Substitutes
6. Ben Shimol Z. 16. Cohen Y. 12. Dabush N. 20. Dahan O. 44. Deri L. 24. Hugi D. 1. Korenfine A. (G) 21. Markovitch N. 22. Ozer Y. (G) 7. Shua Y. 26. Silva Kani 36. Zargary A.	27. Birka E. 9. Contreras A. 44. Kazainis M. (G) 77. Mankenda G. 25. Muzinga N. 11. Pena B. 18. Regza M. 19. Taiwo A. 5. Wassom K. 12. Zommers K. (G)
Coaches
Itzhaki B.	Gula A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Atzili O. ⚽, Yarin L. (A),
24', 2 - 0, Muzie T. ⚽, Yona A. (A),
34', Mendy A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
57', Cohen G. 🟨,
58', Reginaldo Ramires 🟨,
58', Iago Siqueira ↓, Muzinga N. ↑,
68', Galo O. 🟨,
69', Cohen G. ↓, Dahan O. ↑,
70', Ngom M. 🟨,
77', Yarin L. ↓, Shua Y. ↑,
77', Muzie T. ↓, Silva Kani ↑,
80', Reginaldo Ramires ↓, Regza M. ↑,
80', Diop M. ↓, Contreras A. ↑,
85', Kalu J. ↓, Hugi D. ↑,
85', Yona A. ↓, Ben Shimol Z. ↑,
86', 2 - 1, Contreras A. ⚽, Grimaldo J. (A),
89', Grimaldo J. ↓, Mankenda G. ↑,
90+4', 3 - 1, Silva Kani ⚽, Hugi D. (A),

Preview

1st leg result: 0-3. 2nd leg. Neutral location - Stadionul Ilie Oană.

Beitar Jerusalem is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Riga is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Beitar Jerusalem may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Beitar Jerusalem has had a series of away games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Beitar Jerusalem won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Beitar Jerusalem
UEFA Europa Conference League
07.08.25	Riga - Beitar Jerusalem	3:0 ✺
31.07.25	Beitar Jerusalem - Sutjeska	5:2 ✺
24.07.25	Sutjeska - Beitar Jerusalem	1:2 ✺
Israeli Toto Cup
19.07.25	Maccabi Haifa - Beitar Jerusalem	0:2 ✺
Club Friendly
11.07.25	Arda Kardzhali - Beitar Jerusalem	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 LWWWW
- Riga FC
Latvian Virsliga
10.08.25	Riga - Grobiņa	2:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
07.08.25	Riga - Beitar Jerusalem	3:0 ✺
Latvian Virsliga
03.08.25	Tukums 2000 - Riga	0:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
31.07.25	Dila Gori - Riga	3:3 ✺
Latvian Virsliga
27.07.25	Riga - Metta	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa Conference League
07.08.25	Riga - Beitar Jerusalem	3:0

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