Match Info

Conference League - Qualification - Semi-finals

Date: 7 August 2025, Thursday

Location: Skonto stadions (Riga)

Referee: Tschudi L. (Sui)


	Riga		Beitar Jerusalem

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.5	3.1	Watch
	2.15	3.5	2.85	Watch
	2.02	3.55	3.25	Watch
	2.14	3.53	3.13
	2.05	3.68	3.23	Watch
				Watch
	2.16	3.7	3.25	Watch
	2.37	3.55	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↓ (2.35)	3.57 ↑ (3.36)	3.07 ↑ (2.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Riga
43.6%

Draw
26%

Beitar Jerusalem
30.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.7%

27.8%

32.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Riga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Beitar Jerusalem has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	31.8%	18.2%

Riga - Beitar Jerusalem Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Riga will win (votes: 11 - 55%). Beitar Jerusalem will win (votes: 3 - 15%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Riga: 33.2% – 76.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Riga (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Beitar Jerusalem (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 4 - 44.4%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Beitar Jerusalem (2.30) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

DC - Riga (1.32) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.25 - Beitar Jerusalem (1.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 14 Selected Experts predict this event. Riga (votes: 4 - 28.6%). Beitar Jerusalem (votes: 6 - 42.9%). Tie (votes: 4 - 28.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Zviedris K. (G) 23. Tonisevs M. 21. Musah B. 3. Ngom M. 13. Jurkovskis R. 40. Ankrah A. 22. Diop M. 4. Galo O. 8. Iago Siqueira 20. Grimaldo J. 10. Reginaldo Ramires (C)	55. Miguel Silva (G) 18. Morozov G. 4. Carabali B. 20. Dahan O. 29. Mendy A. 15. Micha D. 42. Tavares A. 8. Yarin L. 11. Muzie T. 9. Kalu J. 7. Shua Y. (C)
Substitutes
27. Birka E. 34. Cernomordijs A. 9. Contreras A. 44. Kazainis M. (G) 77. Mankenda G. 25. Muzinga N. 11. Pena B. 18. Regza M. 19. Taiwo A. 5. Wassom K. 12. Zommers K. (G)	6. Ben Shimol Z. 5. Cohen G. 16. Cohen Y. 12. Dabush N. 44. Deri L. 24. Hugi D. 1. Korenfine A. (G) 22. Ozer Y. (G) 10. Yona A. 17. Yusopove Y. 36. Zargary A. 2. Zasno Z.
Coaches
Gula A.	Itzhaki B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
23', Tonisevs M. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
47', 1 - 0, Reginaldo Ramires ⚽,
60', Tonisevs M. ↓, Cernomordijs A. ↑,
60', Micha D. ↓, Yona A. ↑,
61', Morozov G. ↓, Zasno Z. ↑,
63', 2 - 0, Iago Siqueira ⚽,
68', Muzie T. ↓, Cohen Y. ↑,
69', 3 - 0, Musah B. ⚽,
71', Reginaldo Ramires ↓, Regza M. ↑,
86', Kalu J. ↓, Hugi D. ↑,
87', Diop M. ↓, Contreras A. ↑,
87', Grimaldo J. ↓, Birka E. ↑,
87', Iago Siqueira ↓, Taiwo A. ↑,
89', Musah B. 🟨,
90+1', Mendy A. 🟨,

Preview

1st leg.

Riga is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Beitar Jerusalem may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Riga is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Riga FC
Latvian Virsliga
03.08.25	Tukums 2000 - Riga	0:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
31.07.25	Dila Gori - Riga	3:3 ✺
Latvian Virsliga
27.07.25	Riga - Metta	3:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
24.07.25	Riga - Dila Gori	2:1 ✺
Latvian Virsliga
19.07.25	Liepāja - Riga	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WTWWW
- Beitar Jerusalem
UEFA Europa Conference League
31.07.25	Beitar Jerusalem - Sutjeska	5:2 ✺
24.07.25	Sutjeska - Beitar Jerusalem	1:2 ✺
Israeli Toto Cup
19.07.25	Maccabi Haifa - Beitar Jerusalem	0:2 ✺
Club Friendly
11.07.25	Arda Kardzhali - Beitar Jerusalem	1:2 ✺
Israeli State Cup
29.05.25	Beitar Jerusalem - Hapoel Beer Sheva	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 WWWWL

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