Match Info

EUROPE: UEFA Nations League - League C - Round 4

Date: 15 October 2024, Tuesday

Location: ZTE Aréna (Zalaegerszeg)

Referee: Karaoglan A. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, SuperSport OTT 1
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, TOD
Australia	Optus Sport
Austria	DAZN
Belarus	Capital TV
Belgium	DAZN 1
Canada	DAZN Canada
China	QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Denmark	TV2 Play
Europe	UEFA TV
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Iceland	Viaplay
India	Sony LIV
Japan	DAZN Japan
Luxembourg	RTL 2, RTL 2
Mexico	Sky Sport
New-zealand	Sky Sport 9
North-central-america	Csport Caribbean
Norway	TV2 Play
Pakistan	Tapmad
Russia	Okko Sport
South-america	ViX Latin America
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Turkey	Exxen
Vietnam	TV 360
World	Disney+, JioTV app, VIX App


	Belarus		Luxembourg

	1	X	2
	2.75	2.8	2.9
	2.75	2.75	3
	2.75	2.75	3
	2.85	2.87	3.08
	2.72	2.74	3.01	Watch
	2.77	2.86	3.28	Watch
	2.75	2.75	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.76 ↓ (2.81)	2.79 ↓ (2.98)	3.04 ↑ (2.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Belarus
34.5%

Draw
34.2%

Luxembourg
31.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.9%

32%

34.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Belarus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Luxembourg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
21.1%	50%	28.9%

Belarus - Luxembourg Predictions

Users Predictions: 37 users predict this event. Belarus will win (votes: 8 - 21.6%). Luxembourg will win (votes: 10 - 27%). It will Tie (votes: 19 - 51.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 35.3% – 67.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Lapoukhov F. (G) Din. Minsk 4. Martynovich A. (C) Kairat Almaty 6. Politevich S. Din. Minsk 3. Zabelin P. Saratov 22. Pigas V. Din. Minsk 9. Ebong M. FC Astana 8. Bocherov V. Ufa 2. Pechenin K. Krylya Sovetov Samara 17. Gromyko V. Kairat Almaty 18. Barkovsky G. Dynamo Brest 7. Shikavka Y. Korona Kielce	1. Moris A. (G) Royale Union SG 18. Jans L. (C) SK Beveren 14. Korac S. Vojvodina 6. D'Anzico K. Differdange 13. Carlson D. St. Polten 16. Barreiro L. Benfica 19. Olesen M. 1. FC Koln 17. Mica Pinto CSKA Sofia 9. Sinani D. St. Pauli 5. Curci A. Francs Borains 10. Rodrigues G. Guangxi Pingguo Haliao
Substitutes
23. Antilevskiy D. Hapoel Haifa 13. Karpovich S. Neman 21. Klimovich V. DVTK 10. Kontsevoy A. Rodina Moscow 15. Korzun N. Yelimay Semey 19. Kovalev Y. Baltika 11. Parkhomenko E. Neman 12. Pavlyuchenko P. (G) Pakhtakor 1. Plotnikov M. (G) Zhodino 5. Polyakov D. Din. Minsk 20. Volkov Z. Arsenal Tula 14. Yablonskiy E. Asteras Tripolis	8. de Sousa T. 15. Dzogovic E. Magdeburg 3. Mahmutovic E. NAC Breda 22. Martins M. Austria Vienna 11. Muratovic E. Odra Opole 7. Omosanya M. Thionville 23. Pereira Cardoso T. (G) B. Monchengladbach 20. Rupil T. Schalke 12. Schon R. (G) Wiltz 21. Thill S. S. Rzeszow
Coaches
Ferrer C.	Holtz L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
11', Gromyko V. (Pen),
23', Sinani D. 🟨,
30', D'Anzico K. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', D'Anzico K. ↓, Martins M. ↑,
52', Korac S. 🟨,
54', 1 - 0, Politevich S. ⚽, Gromyko V. (A),
61', Gromyko V. ↓, Korzun N. ↑,
63', Barkovsky G. 🟨,
64', Curci A. ↓, Omosanya M. ↑,
64', Rodrigues G. 🟨,
74', Ebong M. ↓, Klimovich V. ↑,
75', Barkovsky G. ↓, Antilevskiy D. ↑,
75', Olesen M. 🟨,
76', Olesen M. ↓, de Sousa T. ↑,
78', 1 - 1, Rodrigues G. (Pen),
89', Shikavka Y. ↓, Kontsevoy A. ↑,
89', Pigas V. ↓, Kovalev Y. ↑,
90+5', Bocherov V. 🟨,

Preview

Neutral location.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Belarus won 3.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Belarus won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8:3 (average 1.1:0.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Belarus
UEFA Nations League
12.10.24	Belarus - Northern Ireland	0:0 ✺
08.09.24	Luxembourg - Belarus	0:1 ✺
05.09.24	Belarus - Bulgaria	0:0 ✺
Friendly
11.06.24	Belarus - Israel	0:4 ✺
07.06.24	Belarus - Russia	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.6 TWTLL
- Luxembourg
UEFA Nations League
12.10.24	Bulgaria - Luxembourg	0:0 ✺
08.09.24	Luxembourg - Belarus	0:1 ✺
05.09.24	Northern Ireland - Luxembourg	2:0 ✺
Friendly
08.06.24	Belgium - Luxembourg	3:0 ✺
05.06.24	France - Luxembourg	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Nations League
08.09.24	Luxembourg - Belarus	0:1
15.11.18	Luxembourg - Belarus	0:2
12.10.18	Belarus - Luxembourg	1:0
FIFA World Cup
31.08.17	Luxembourg - Belarus	1:0
10.10.16	Belarus - Luxembourg	1:1
UEFA Euro
08.09.15	Belarus - Luxembourg	2:0
08.09.14	Luxembourg - Belarus	1:1

Belarus - Luxembourg: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide