What is the expert prediction for Northern Ireland vs Luxembourg?

Our statistical model provides live predictions including win probabilities and estimated scores for Northern Ireland vs Luxembourg. Follow the link for detailed analytics.

How to watch Northern Ireland vs Luxembourg live?

Check our broadcast section for official streaming options and live coverage details.

Northern Ireland vs Luxembourg Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Monday, November 17, 2025)

Match Info

World Cup - Qualification

Date: 17 November 2025, Monday

Location: Windsor Park (Belfast)

Referee: Tohver K. (Est)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, Supersport Action, SuperSport Football
Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 6, TOD
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	DAZN
Brazil	Disney+
Bulgaria	Nova Sport
Canada	DAZN Canada
China	iQIYI, ZhiBo8
Denmark	TV2 Play
Europe	UEFA TV
Finland	MTV Katsomo+
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	Nova Sports Start
Iceland	Viaplay
Ireland	Virgin Media Player, Virgin Media Two
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kenya	Gotv
Luxembourg	RTL, RTL
Mexico	Sky Sport
New-zealand	Sky Sport 7
Nigeria	SuperSport Action
Norway	TV2 Play, Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Slovenia	SportKlub 6
South-africa	SuperSport Football
South-america	ViX Latin America
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Turkey	Exxen
United-kingdom	BBC iPlayer, BBC One, BBC Sport, BBC Three, BBC Two, Virgin TV Go app
Uruguay	Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	TV 360


	Northern Ireland		Luxembourg

	1	X	2
	1.91	3.1	4.75
	1.85	3.2	4.95
	1.94	3.16	5.05
	1.35	4.96	9.05	Watch
	1.96	3.18	4.87	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↑ (1.34)	3.52 ↓ (5.4)	5.73 ↓ (9)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Northern Ireland
54.8%

Draw
28%

Luxembourg
17.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

71.6%

17.8%

10.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Northern Ireland has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Northern Ireland's form might have worsened.

Luxembourg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Luxembourg's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
79.4%	11.1%	9.5%

banner

Predictions

Users Predictions: 62 users predict this event. Northern Ireland will win (votes: 50 - 80.6%). Luxembourg will win (votes: 6 - 9.7%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 9.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Northern Ireland: 70.8% – 90.4%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

AH -1.25 - Northern Ireland (2.05) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.5 - Northern Ireland (1.17) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

DC - Luxembourg (1.90) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

AH +0.25 - Luxembourg (4.44) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Luxembourg (3.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.25 - Luxembourg (2.71) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.5 - Luxembourg (1.94) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Luxembourg (4.07) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

EH +2, 2nd Half - Luxembourg (91.00) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

EH +1, 2nd Half - Luxembourg (23.33) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

EH +2, 1st Half - Luxembourg (101.00) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

EH +1, 1st Half - Luxembourg (32.33) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

EH +2 - Luxembourg (52.33) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

EH +1 - Luxembourg (15.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.75, 2nd Half - Luxembourg (7.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.5, 2nd Half - Luxembourg (4.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.25, 2nd Half - Luxembourg (4.25) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.75, 1st Half - Luxembourg (8.30) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.25, 1st Half - Luxembourg (4.58) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0, 1st Half - Luxembourg (3.33) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.5 - Luxembourg (12.50) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.25 - Luxembourg (10.50) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1 - Luxembourg (11.50) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.75 - Luxembourg (6.79) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

H/A, 1st Half - Luxembourg (3.55) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB, 2nd Half - Luxembourg (3.18) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB, 1st Half - Luxembourg (3.07) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Northern Ireland will win (29 of 37 users predict this - 78.38%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 66 Selected Experts predict this event. Northern Ireland (votes: 31 - 47%). Luxembourg (votes: 35 - 53%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Hazard C. (G) Plymouth 13. McConville R. Norwich 17. McNair P. San Diego FC 22. Brown C. Oxford Utd 2. Bradley C. (C) Liverpool 16. Lyons B. Kilmarnock 20. McDonnell J. Mansfield 7. Galbraith E. Swansea 3. Lewis J. Preston 14. Price I. West Brom 10. Donley J. Stoke City	1. Moris A. (G) Al Khaleej 22. Martins M. Winterthur 2. Korac S. Venezia 13. Carlson D. St. Polten 18. Jans L. (C) SK Beveren 19. Olesen M. Greuther Furth 15. Thill O. IMT Novi Beograd 8. Martins C. Spartak Moscow 16. Barreiro L. Benfica 7. Dardari A. Augsburg 10. Sinani D. St. Pauli
Substitutes
9. Charles D. Huddersfield 1. Clarke J. (G) Partick 15. Devenny J. Crystal Palace 6. Devlin T. Portsmouth 5. Johnson R. AFC Wimbledon 19. Kelly P. Barnsley 21. Magennis J. Exeter 8. Marshall C. West Ham 18. McCausland R. Aris Limassol 11. Smyth P. QPR 23. Southwood L. (G) Bristol Rovers 4. Toal E. Bolton	9. Avdusinovic K. Progres Niedercorn 5. Curci A. Neftci Baku 6. de Sousa T. Benfica 20. Dzogovic E. Magdeburg 3. Embalo A. Entella 23. Fox L. (G) Bocholt 11. Muratovic E. Odra Opole 4. Mustafic M. Bali United 12. Pereira Cardoso T. (G) B. Monchengladbach 17. Selimovic V. FC Hermannstadt 21. Thill S. S. Rzeszow 14. Veiga E. Flamurtari
Coaches
O'Neill Mi.	Huet D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
43', Moris A. 🟨,
43', Huet D. 🟨,
44', 1 - 0, Donley J. (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Bradley C. ↓, Devlin T. ↑,
53', Lyons B. ↓, Smyth P. ↑,
56', Korac S. 🟨,
67', Donley J. ↓, Marshall C. ↑,
67', McDonnell J. ↓, Magennis J. ↑,
67', Olesen M. ↓, de Sousa T. ↑,
67', Dardari A. ↓, Avdusinovic K. ↑,
80', Thill O. ↓, Muratovic E. ↑,
81', McConville R. 🟨,
82', Lewis J. ↓, Kelly P. ↑,
85', Sinani D. 🟨,
87', Martins M. ↓, Dzogovic E. ↑,
90+1', Hazard C. 🟨,
90+2', McNair P. 🟨,
90+3', de Sousa T. 🟨,
90+7', Barreiro L. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Northern Ireland won 4.

In this match, Northern Ireland is a strong favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Northern Ireland won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 14:8. (average 2:1.1).

banner

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Northern Ireland
FIFA World Cup
14.11.25	Slovakia - Northern Ireland	1:0 ✺
13.10.25	Northern Ireland - Germany	0:1 ✺
10.10.25	Northern Ireland - Slovakia	2:0 ✺
07.09.25	Germany - Northern Ireland	3:1 ✺
04.09.25	Luxembourg - Northern Ireland	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LLWLW
- Luxembourg
FIFA World Cup
14.11.25	Luxembourg - Germany	0:2 ✺
13.10.25	Slovakia - Luxembourg	2:0 ✺
10.10.25	Germany - Luxembourg	4:0 ✺
07.09.25	Luxembourg - Slovakia	0:1 ✺
04.09.25	Luxembourg - Northern Ireland	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

FIFA World Cup
04.09.25	Luxembourg - Northern Ireland	1:3
UEFA Nations League
18.11.24	Luxembourg - Northern Ireland	2:2
05.09.24	Northern Ireland - Luxembourg	2:0
Friendly
25.03.22	Luxembourg - Northern Ireland	1:3
05.09.19	Northern Ireland - Luxembourg	1:0
FIFA World Cup
10.09.13	Luxembourg - Northern Ireland	3:2
11.09.12	Northern Ireland - Luxembourg	1:1

Top Bookmakers Offers

Bet £10 and get £30 in Free Bets

Extensive live betting options | More markets than other online bookmaker | One of the best betting apps

Betting Bonus up to 1 000 EUR + 250 EUR free bet !

Extensive coverage with 20+ esports titles | Supports many payment methods | 24/7 support via the live chat feature

100% up to 100 Euro welcome bonus, across all of BetInAsia products (BLACK, SharpX, PS3838)...

High Betting Limits | Instant deposits and withdrawals | Tons of different payment options ODDS100

Northern Ireland - Luxembourg: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide