Match Info

BULGARIA: VTORA LIGA - ROUND 6

Date: 20 August 2023, Sunday


	Belasitsa Petrich		Spartak Varna

	1	X	2
	4.43	3.33	1.7
	4.95	3.55	1.66	Watch
	5.2	3.5	1.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.86 ↑ (3.54)	3.46 ↑ (3.24)	1.65 ↓ (1.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Belasitsa Petrich
18.7%

Draw
26.3%

Spartak Varna
55%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.7%

28.1%

46.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25%

27.4%

47.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Belasitsa Petrich has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Belasitsa Petrich's form might have worsened.

Spartak Varna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Spartak Varna's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Belasitsa Petrich than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Belasitsa Petrich, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spartak Varna than the current prediction. (-7.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Spartak Varna, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Belasitsa Petrich - Spartak Varna Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Georgiev K. (G) 17. Dinev Z. (C) 3. Ergin V. 2. Eta K. 55. Gogov V. 99. Ivanov D. 15. Karachorov A. 22. Kostov V. 5. Ruskov M. 11. Taonsa A. 9. Vangelov M.	23. Georgiev G. (G) 2. Boev V. 31. Dimitrov A. 44. Granchov A. 18. Hyusein H. 13. Ivanov G. 14. Ivey R. 11. Mitev V. (C) 10. Rumenov R. 6. Tsvetkov A. 4. Vakadinov B.
Substitutes
13. Dimitrov A. 8. Dimitrov Z. 10. Smilkov A. 20. Todorski M. 4. Yovchev D. 25. Zacharias D.	29. Ahmedov A. 78. Angelov A. 5. Baurenski Y. 7. Iliev E. 45. Nachev D. 75. N'Zi J. 3. Petrov P. 89. Videnov N. (G) 81. Zehirov A.

Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 12 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Parva liga (Promotion: )).

Recent matches Belasitsa is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Spartak Varna is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Spartak Varna could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Spartak Varna will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Belasitsa Petrich
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
15.08.23	Belasitsa Petrich - Marek Dupnitsa	0:0 ✺
04.08.23	Bdin Vidin - Belasitsa Petrich	1:0 ✺
29.07.23	Belasitsa Petrich - Chernomorets Burgas	1:1 ✺
20.07.23	Yantra Gabrovo - Belasitsa Petrich	2:1 ✺
15.07.23	Belasitsa Petrich - Sportist Svoge	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 TLTLW
- Spartak Varna
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
13.08.23	Spartak Varna - Bdin Vidin	1:0 ✺
08.08.23	Chernomorets Burgas - Spartak Varna	0:0 ✺
30.07.23	Spartak Varna - Yantra Gabrovo	1:0 ✺
22.07.23	Sportist Svoge - Spartak Varna	2:0 ✺
16.07.23	Spartak Varna - CSKA 1948 Sofia II	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WTWLW

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