Match Info

EUROPE: UEFA Nations League - League A/B - Relegation - Final

Date: 23 March 2025, Sunday

Location: Cegeka Arena (Genk)

Referee: Siebert D. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, SuperSport PSL
Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, TOD
Australia	Optus Sport
Austria	DAZN
Belgium	RTBF La Une, RTL Play, RTL TVI, VTM, VTM GO
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 3
Brazil	Disney+
Canada	DAZN Canada
Chile	Disney+
China	iQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+
Denmark	TV2 Play
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+
France	L'Equipe Live Foot
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Greece	Nova Sports 5
Iceland	Viaplay
India	JioTV app, Sony LIV
Japan	DAZN Japan
Mexico	Sky Sport
New-zealand	Sky Sport 7
North-central-america	Csport Caribbean
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	TV2 Play
Pakistan	Tapmad
Peru	Disney+
Poland	Polsat Sport Premium 5
Romania	Prima Sport 1, Prima Sport PPV 1
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Sport 2
South-america	ViX Latin America
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Turkey	Exxen
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Sport
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Tubi TV
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	TV 360
International	Disney+, VIX App


	Belgium		Ukraine

	1	X	2
	1.45	4.5	7
	1.46	4.33	6
	1.46	4.5	6.8
	1.5	4.58	6.62	Watch
	1.49	4.6	7.16	Watch
	1.46	4.5	6.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↑ (1.31)	4.5 ↓ (5.33)	6.73 ↓ (11.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

Watch this match and UEFA Nations League with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: fubo Sports Network

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Current Win Probability

Belgium
64.7%

Draw
21.1%

Ukraine
14.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

73.4%

18%

8.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Belgium has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Belgium's form might have worsened.

Ukraine has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ukraine's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.3%	9.1%	13.6%

Belgium - Ukraine Predictions

Users Predictions: Belgium will win (34 of 43 users predict this - 79.07%).
Confidence interval (95%): 66.91% – 91.23%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Sels M. (G) Nottingham 15. Meunier T. Lille 4. Faes W. Leicester 2. Debast Z. Sporting Lisbon 21. Castagne T. Fulham 20. Vanaken H. Club Brugge 6. Raskin N. Rangers 7. De Bruyne K. (C) Manchester City 11. Trossard L. Arsenal 10. Lukaku R. Napoli 22. Doku J. Manchester City	1. Lunin A. (G) Real Madrid 22. Matviienko M. (C) Shakhtar 4. Svatok O. Austin FC 13. Zabarnyi I. Bournemouth 17. Zinchenko O. Arsenal 6. Kaliuzhnyi I. Oleksandriya 18. Yarmolyuk Y. Brentford 16. Mykolenko V. Everton 19. Gutsulyak O. Polissya Zhytomyr 8. Sudakov G. Shakhtar 21. Vanat V. Dynamo Kyiv
Substitutes
23. Batshuayi M. Eintracht Frankfurt 5. De Cuyper M. Club Brugge 17. De Ketelaere C. Atalanta 16. De Winter K. Genoa 19. Heynen B. Genk 1. Lammens S. (G) Antwerp 14. Lukebakio D. Sevilla 18. Mechele B. Club Brugge 3. Mokio J. Ajax 9. Openda L. RB Leipzig 8. Saelemaekers A. AS Roma 12. Vandevoordt M. (G) RB Leipzig	2. Bondar V. Shakhtar 14. Buyalskyy V. Dynamo Kyiv 11. Dovbyk A. AS Roma 3. Mykhaylichenko B. Polissya Zhytomyr 20. Nazarenko O. Polissya Zhytomyr 5. Nazaryna Y. Shakhtar 23. Riznyk D. (G) Shakhtar 10. Shaparenko M. Dynamo Kyiv 12. Trubin A. (G) Benfica 15. Tsygankov V. Girona 9. Yaremchuk R. Olympiacos Piraeus 7. Yarmolenko A. Dynamo Kyiv
Coaches
Garcia R.	Rebrov S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
5', Raskin N. 🟨,
12', Zabarnyi I. 🟨,
29', Zinchenko O. 🟨,
45+2', Gutsulyak O. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
58', Vanat V. 🟨,
68', Sudakov G. ↓, Tsygankov V. ↑,
69', Vanat V. ↓, Dovbyk A. ↑,
69', Meunier T. ↓, De Cuyper M. ↑,
69', Trossard L. ↓, Saelemaekers A. ↑,
69', Mykolenko V. ↓, Mykhaylichenko B. ↑,
70', 1 - 0, De Cuyper M. ⚽, Doku J. (A),
76', 2 - 0, Lukaku R. ⚽, De Bruyne K. (A),
86', 3 - 0, Lukaku R. ⚽, Vanaken H. (A),
89', Gutsulyak O. ↓, Yarmolenko A. ↑,
89', Svatok O. ↓, Yaremchuk R. ↑,
90', Raskin N. ↓, Heynen B. ↑,
90+4', Vanaken H. 🟨,

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 1-3.

In this match Belgium is indisputable favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Belgium won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:3 (average 0.5:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Belgium
UEFA Nations League
20.03.25	Ukraine - Belgium	3:1 ✺
17.11.24	Israel - Belgium	1:0 ✺
14.11.24	Belgium - Italy	0:1 ✺
14.10.24	Belgium - France	1:2 ✺
10.10.24	Italy - Belgium	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LLLLT
- Ukraine
UEFA Nations League
20.03.25	Ukraine - Belgium	3:1 ✺
19.11.24	Albania - Ukraine	1:2 ✺
16.11.24	Georgia - Ukraine	1:1 ✺
14.10.24	Ukraine - Czech Republic	1:1 ✺
11.10.24	Ukraine - Georgia	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17 WWTTW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Nations League
20.03.25	Ukraine - Belgium	3:1
UEFA Euro
26.06.24	Ukraine - Belgium	0:0

Belgium - Ukraine: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide