Match Info

UEFA Nations League - League A - Round 2

Date: 28 September 2026, Monday

Location: King Baudouin Stadium (Brussels)

Referee: Obrenovic R. (Slo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Afghanistan	Meraj Sport, Meraj TV
Africa	DStv Now, New World Sport 1, New World Sport App, SuperSport Grandstand, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Premier League
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA 2, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Austria	DAZN
Belarus	Sport TV
Belgium	RTL Play, RTL TVI, VTM, VTM GO
Bolivia	ESPN
Brazil	Disney+, ESPN
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	DAZN Canada, fubo Sports Network
Colombia	ESPN
Croatia	MAXtv To Go, SportKlub 2
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
Czech-republic	Oneplay, Sport 1
Denmark	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport X
Ecuador	ESPN
Estonia	Go3 Extra Sports
Europe	UEFA TV
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1, V Sport Premium
France	L'Equipe, Molotov TV, New World TV, TF 1, TF1+
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	Nova Sports Prime
Iceland	SÝN Sport Viaplay, Viaplay
India	JioTV app, Sony LIV, Vision+
Indonesia	K-Vision, RCTI
Ireland	Virgin Media Two
Israel	Sport 2
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kenya	Gotv
Kosovo	Arena Premium 1
Lithuania	Go3 Extra Sports
Mexico	Izzi TV, Sky Sport
Mongolia	Premier Sports 2
Netherlands	Ziggo Go, Ziggo Sport 2
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Nigeria	Supersport Maximo 1, Supersport Maximo 2, SuperSport Premier League
North-macedonia	Arena Premium 1
Norway	TV2 Play, Viaplay
Pakistan	Tapmad
Paraguay	ESPN
Peru	Disney+, ESPN
Poland	Polsat Sport 1
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 1, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Premium 1
Slovakia	Sport 1
Slovenia	SportKlub 5
South-africa	SuperSport Grandstand, Supersport Maximo 1, SuperSport Premier League
South-america	ViX Latin America
South-korea	SPOTV Now
Spain	DAZN Espana
Suriname	SCCN
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Premium
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland, RTS 2, RTS 2, RTS Sport, RTS Sport, SRF Play, SRF Play, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV, TF 1
Taiwan	ELTA Sports 1
Turkey	Exxen
United-kingdom	Amazon Prime Video
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Fox Soccer Plus, FOX Sports 2
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN, Inter


	Belgium		France

	1	X	2
	4	3.9	1.83
	3.70	3.75	1.80
	3.95	3.6	1.88
	4.11	3.91	1.91
	3.94	3.99	1.9	Watch
	4	3.8	1.82
	4	4.1	1.86	Watch
	3.75	3.85	1.84
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.93 ↑ (3.1)	3.86 ↑ (3.48)	1.86 ↓ (2.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Belgium
24.2%

Draw
24.6%

France
51.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.3%

26.1%

44.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Belgium has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Belgium's form might have worsened.

France has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting France's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
13.3%	24.4%	62.2%

Belgium - France Predictions

Users Predictions: 45 users predict this event. Belgium will win (votes: 6 - 13.3%). France will win (votes: 28 - 62.2%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 24.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for France: 48% – 76.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. France (votes: 3 - 60%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

EH -1 - France (3.22) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - France (1.40) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - France (1.38) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (1.50) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH +0.5 - Belgium (1.87) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Belgium (votes: 1 - 11.1%). France (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lammens S. (G) Manchester United 21. Castagne T. Fulham 15. Ngoy N. Lille 4. Mechele B. Club Brugge 18. Seys J. Club Brugge 6. Lavia R. Chelsea 8. Tielemans Y. (C) Manchester United 19. Moreira D. AC Milan 7. De Bruyne K. Napoli 10. Godts M. PSG 17. De Ketelaere C. Atalanta	16. Maignan M. (C) AC Milan 2. Kalulu P. Juventus 22. Jacquet J. Liverpool 17. Lacroix M. Chelsea 13. Diouf A. Inter 18. Akliouche M. PSG 21. Da Cunha L. Como 6. Camavinga E. Real Madrid 20. Doue D. PSG 19. Lepaul E. Rennes 12. Barcola B. Liverpool
Substitutes
2. Debast Z. Sporting CP 13. De Busser J. (G) AZ Alkmaar 5. De Cuyper M. Brighton 3. De Winter K. AC Milan 22. Fernandez-Pardo M. Newcastle Utd 16. Keita M. Parma 9. Lukaku R. Fenerbahce 14. Lukebakio D. Benfica 11. Openda L. Lyon 23. Raskin N. Rangers 20. Vanaken H. Club Brugge 12. Vandevoordt M. (G) RB Leipzig	23. Butez J. (G) Como 9. Cherki R. Manchester City 7. Dembele O. PSG 8. Kone M. AS Roma 5. Kounde J. Barcelona 11. Olise M. Bayern Munich 14. Rabiot A. AC Milan 1. Restes G. (G) Toulouse 3. Truffert A. Bournemouth 4. Upamecano D. Bayern Munich 15. Yoro L. Manchester United
Coaches
van Bommel M.	Zidane Z.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
42', Moreira D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
57', De Bruyne K. 🟨,
63', De Bruyne K. ↓, Vanaken H. ↑,
63', Moreira D. ↓, Lukebakio D. ↑,
66', Tielemans Y. 🟨,
68', Seys J. ↓, De Cuyper M. ↑,
68', Lepaul E. ↓, Dembele O. ↑,
77', Akliouche M. ↓, Cherki R. ↑,
77', Barcola B. ↓, Olise M. ↑,
85', Lavia R. ↓, Raskin N. ↑,
85', De Ketelaere C. ↓, Fernandez-Pardo M. ↑,
88', 0 - 1, Olise M. ⚽, Cherki R. (A),
90', Da Cunha L. ↓, Kone M. ↑,

Preview

Belgium is ranked FIFA: 8., and France is ranked FIFA: 3..

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Belgium won 0.

France is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

Confirmed absences for Belgium: Courtois T. (Rest) Doku J. (Lacking Match Fitness) Onana A. (Knee Injury) Trossard L. (Injury).

Confirmed absences for France: Konate I. (Knee Injury) Mateta J. (Hamstring Injury) Mbappe K. (Knee Injury) Saliba W. (Back Injury) Tchouameni A. (Inactive) Zaire-Emery W. (Thigh Injury).

In the last 7 head-to-head meetings, Belgium has recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 7:12 (averaging 1:1.7 goals per game).

Outrights of UEFA Nations League for now

France: 20.52% Belgium: 2.56%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Belgium
UEFA Nations League
25.09.26	Italy - Belgium	0:2 ✺
FIFA World Cup
10.07.26	Spain - Belgium	2:1 ✺
06.07.26	USA - Belgium	1:4 ✺
01.07.26	Belgium - Senegal	3:2 ET ✺
26.06.26	New Zealand - Belgium	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 WLWWW
- France
UEFA Nations League
25.09.26	Turkey - France	0:1 ✺
FIFA World Cup
18.07.26	France - England	4:6 ✺
14.07.26	France - Spain	0:2 ✺
09.07.26	France - Morocco	2:0 ✺
04.07.26	Paraguay - France	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Nations League
14.10.24	Belgium - France	1:2
09.09.24	France - Belgium	2:0
UEFA Euro
01.07.24	France - Belgium	1:0
UEFA Nations League
07.10.21	Belgium - France	2:3
FIFA World Cup
10.07.18	France - Belgium	1:0
Friendly
07.06.15	France - Belgium	3:4
14.08.13	Belgium - France	0:0

Belgium - France: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide