Match Info

UEFA Nations League - League A - Round 2

Date: 28 September 2026, Monday 🏁 Finished

Location: King Baudouin Stadium (Brussels) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Obrenovic R. (Slo)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Afghanistan	23:15	Meraj Sport, Meraj TV
Africa	—	DStv Now, New World Sport 1, New World Sport App, SuperSport Grandstand, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Premier League
Argentina	15:45	Disney+, ESPN
Armenia	22:45	Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA 2, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD
Australia	04:45	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Austria	20:45	DAZN
Belarus	21:45	Sport TV
Belgium	20:45	RTL Play, RTL TVI, VTM, VTM GO
Bolivia	14:45	ESPN
Brazil	15:45	Disney+, ESPN
Bulgaria	21:45	Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	14:45	DAZN Canada, fubo Sports Network
Colombia	13:45	ESPN
Croatia	20:45	MAXtv To Go, SportKlub 2
Cyprus	21:45	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
Czech Republic	20:45	Oneplay, Sport 1
Denmark	20:45	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport X
Ecuador	13:45	ESPN
Estonia	21:45	Go3 Extra Sports
Europe	—	UEFA TV
Finland	21:45	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1, V Sport Premium
France	20:45	L'Equipe, Molotov TV, New World TV, TF 1, TF1+
Germany	20:45	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	21:45	Nova Sports Prime
Iceland	18:45	SÝN Sport Viaplay, Viaplay
India	00:15	JioTV app, Sony LIV, Vision+
Indonesia	01:45	K-Vision, RCTI
Ireland	19:45	Virgin Media Two
Israel	21:45	Sport 2
Japan	03:45	DAZN Japan
Kenya	21:45	Gotv
Kosovo	20:45	Arena Premium 1
Lithuania	21:45	Go3 Extra Sports
Mexico	12:45	Izzi TV, Sky Sport
Mongolia	02:45	Premier Sports 2
Netherlands	20:45	Ziggo Go, Ziggo Sport 2
New Zealand	07:45	beIN Connect
Nigeria	19:45	Supersport Maximo 1, Supersport Maximo 2, SuperSport Premier League
North Macedonia	20:45	Arena Premium 1
Norway	20:45	TV2 Play, Viaplay
Pakistan	23:45	Tapmad
Paraguay	14:45	ESPN
Peru	13:45	Disney+, ESPN
Poland	20:45	Polsat Sport 1
Romania	21:45	Digi Online, Digi Sport 1, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1
Russia	21:45	Okko Sport
Serbia	20:45	Arena Premium 1
Slovakia	20:45	Sport 1
Slovenia	20:45	SportKlub 5
South Africa	20:45	SuperSport Grandstand, Supersport Maximo 1, SuperSport Premier League
South America	—	ViX Latin America
South Korea	03:45	SPOTV Now
Spain	20:45	DAZN Espana
Suriname	15:45	SCCN
Sweden	20:45	Viaplay, V Sport Premium
Switzerland	20:45	DAZN Switzerland, RTS 2, RTS 2, RTS Sport, SRF Play, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV, TF 1
Taiwan	02:45	ELTA Sports 1
Turkey	21:45	Exxen
United Kingdom	19:45	Amazon Prime Video
Uruguay	15:45	Disney+
Usa	14:45	Fox Soccer Plus, FOX Sports 2
Venezuela	14:45	Disney+, ESPN, Inter


	Belgium		France

	1	X	2
	4	3.9	1.83
	3.70	3.75	1.80
	3.95	3.6	1.88
	4.11	3.91	1.91
	3.94	3.99	1.9	Watch
	4	3.8	1.82
	4	4.1	1.86	Watch
	3.75	3.85	1.84
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.93 ↑ (3.1)	3.86 ↑ (3.48)	1.86 ↓ (2.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Belgium
24.2%

Draw
24.6%

France
51.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

29.3%

26.1%

44.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Belgium has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Belgium's form might have worsened.

France has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting France's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
13.3%	24.4%	62.2%

Belgium - France Predictions

Users Predictions: 45 users predict this event. Belgium will win (votes: 6 - 13.3%). France will win (votes: 28 - 62.2%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 24.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for France: 48% – 76.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. France (votes: 3 - 60%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

EH -1 - France (3.22) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - France (1.40) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - France (1.38) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (1.50) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH +0.5 - Belgium (1.87) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Belgium (votes: 1 - 11.1%). France (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lammens S. (G) Manchester United 21. Castagne T. Fulham 15. Ngoy N. Lille 4. Mechele B. Club Brugge 18. Seys J. Club Brugge 6. Lavia R. Chelsea 8. Tielemans Y. (C) Manchester United 19. Moreira D. AC Milan 7. De Bruyne K. Napoli 10. Godts M. PSG 17. De Ketelaere C. Atalanta	16. Maignan M. (C) AC Milan 2. Kalulu P. Juventus 22. Jacquet J. Liverpool 17. Lacroix M. Chelsea 13. Diouf A. Inter 18. Akliouche M. PSG 21. Da Cunha L. Como 6. Camavinga E. Real Madrid 20. Doue D. PSG 19. Lepaul E. Rennes 12. Barcola B. Liverpool
Substitutes
2. Debast Z. Sporting CP 13. De Busser J. (G) AZ Alkmaar 5. De Cuyper M. Brighton 3. De Winter K. AC Milan 22. Fernandez-Pardo M. Newcastle Utd 16. Keita M. Parma 9. Lukaku R. Fenerbahce 14. Lukebakio D. Benfica 11. Openda L. Lyon 23. Raskin N. Rangers 20. Vanaken H. Club Brugge 12. Vandevoordt M. (G) RB Leipzig	23. Butez J. (G) Como 9. Cherki R. Manchester City 7. Dembele O. PSG 8. Kone M. AS Roma 5. Kounde J. Barcelona 11. Olise M. Bayern Munich 14. Rabiot A. AC Milan 1. Restes G. (G) Toulouse 3. Truffert A. Bournemouth 4. Upamecano D. Bayern Munich 15. Yoro L. Manchester United
Coaches
van Bommel M.	Zidane Z.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
42', Moreira D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
57', De Bruyne K. 🟨,
63', De Bruyne K. ↓, Vanaken H. ↑,
63', Moreira D. ↓, Lukebakio D. ↑,
66', Tielemans Y. 🟨,
68', Seys J. ↓, De Cuyper M. ↑,
68', Lepaul E. ↓, Dembele O. ↑,
77', Akliouche M. ↓, Cherki R. ↑,
77', Barcola B. ↓, Olise M. ↑,
85', Lavia R. ↓, Raskin N. ↑,
85', De Ketelaere C. ↓, Fernandez-Pardo M. ↑,
88', 0 - 1, Olise M. ⚽, Cherki R. (A),
90', Da Cunha L. ↓, Kone M. ↑,

Preview

Belgium is ranked FIFA: 8., and France is ranked FIFA: 3..

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Belgium won 0.

France is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

Confirmed absences for Belgium: Courtois T. (Rest) Doku J. (Lacking Match Fitness) Onana A. (Knee Injury) Trossard L. (Injury).

Confirmed absences for France: Konate I. (Knee Injury) Mateta J. (Hamstring Injury) Mbappe K. (Knee Injury) Saliba W. (Back Injury) Tchouameni A. (Inactive) Zaire-Emery W. (Thigh Injury).

In the last 7 head-to-head meetings, Belgium has recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 7:12 (averaging 1:1.7 goals per game).

Outrights of UEFA Nations League for now

France: 20.52% Belgium: 2.56%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Belgium
UEFA Nations League
25.09.26	Italy - Belgium	0:2 ✺
FIFA World Cup
10.07.26	Spain - Belgium	2:1 ✺
06.07.26	USA - Belgium	1:4 ✺
01.07.26	Belgium - Senegal	3:2 ET ✺
26.06.26	New Zealand - Belgium	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 WLWWW
- France
UEFA Nations League
25.09.26	Turkey - France	0:1 ✺
FIFA World Cup
18.07.26	France - England	4:6 ✺
14.07.26	France - Spain	0:2 ✺
09.07.26	France - Morocco	2:0 ✺
04.07.26	Paraguay - France	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Nations League
14.10.24	Belgium - France	1:2
09.09.24	France - Belgium	2:0
UEFA Euro
01.07.24	France - Belgium	1:0
UEFA Nations League
07.10.21	Belgium - France	2:3
FIFA World Cup
10.07.18	France - Belgium	1:0
Friendly
07.06.15	France - Belgium	3:4
14.08.13	Belgium - France	0:0

Belgium - France