Match Info

Euro Women - Round 1

Date: 3 July 2025, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stade de Tourbillon (Sion) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Grundbacher D. (Sui)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now, New World Sport 2, New World Sport App, Sporty TV, StarTimes App, SuperSport GOtv Football, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport Maximo 3
Albania	18:00	RTSH Sport
Argentina	13:00	Disney+
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA English 2, TOD
Australia	02:00	Optus Sport
Austria	18:00	ORF On, ORF Sport+, Sky Go Austria
Belgium	18:00	BNT News App, RTBF Auvio Direct, RTBF La Une, VRT Canvas
Bosnia And Herzegovina	18:00	BHT 1
Brazil	13:00	Amazon Prime Video, Caze TV
Bulgaria	19:00	BNT 3
Canada	12:00	TSN 4, TSN+
Chile	12:00	Disney+
China	00:00	ZhiBo8
Colombia	11:00	Disney+
Croatia	18:00	HRT 2, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	19:00	RIK 2
Czech Republic	18:00	CT sport
Denmark	18:00	TV3+, Viaplay
Estonia	19:00	ETV 2
Finland	19:00	YLE TV2
France	18:00	France 3, France 4, Free, Molotov TV
Georgia	20:00	1TV Player
Germany	18:00	DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch, ZDF
Greece	19:00	ERT 2
Hong Kong	00:00	HOY TV
Hungary	18:00	M4 Sport
Iceland	16:00	RUV
India	21:30	FanCode, FanCode
Ireland	17:00	RTE 2, RTE Player
Israel	19:00	Sport 2
Italy	18:00	RAI 2, RaiPlay
Kenya	19:00	Gotv
Kosovo	18:00	RTK 1
Lithuania	19:00	LRT Plius
Malta	18:00	TVM Sport+
Mexico	10:00	Disney+
Moldova	19:00	TVR Moldova
Netherlands	18:00	Canal+, NPO 1, Sporza
Nigeria	17:00	Supersport Maximo 1
Norway	18:00	NRK 1, NRK Sport, NRK TV
Peru	11:00	Disney+
Poland	18:00	sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app, TVP Sport
Portugal	17:00	Sport TV1
Romania	19:00	TVR+, TVR Sport
Slovakia	18:00	STVR Sport
South Africa	18:00	SuperSport Football, Supersport Maximo 1
South America	—	ViX Latin America
South Korea	01:00	SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime
Spain	18:00	RTVE Play, Teledeporte
Sweden	18:00	Discovery+, SVT 1, SVT 2, SVT Play, Viaplay
Switzerland	18:00	Play RTS, Play RTS, RSI La 2, RTS 2, SRF 2, SRF Play, SRF Play, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Turkey	19:00	Tabii, TRT Spor
Ukraine	19:00	MEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Sport, MEGOGO Ukraine, Suspilne Sport
United Kingdom	17:00	BBC iPlayer, BBC Sport, BBC Two
Uruguay	13:00	Disney+
Usa	12:00	Fox Sports 1, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com
Venezuela	12:00	Disney+
International	16:00	Sport 24 Extra


	Belgium W		Italy W

	1	X	2
	5.5	4.2	1.55
	3.9	3.75	1.8
	5.3	4.05	1.55
	5.7	4.25	1.58
				Watch
	4	3.6	1.8
	6.21	4.28	1.56
	4.05	3.7	1.78
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.95 ↑ (4.16)	3.98 ↑ (3.8)	1.66 ↓ (1.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Belgium W
19.1%

Draw
23.8%

Italy W
57.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

22.7%

24.9%

52.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Belgium W has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Italy W has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
19.5%	9.8%	70.7%

Belgium W - Italy W Predictions

Users Predictions: 41 users predict this event. Belgium will win (votes: 8 - 19.5%). Italy will win (votes: 29 - 70.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 9.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Italy: 56.8% – 84.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 17 Selected Experts predict this event. Belgium (votes: 2 - 11.8%). Italy (votes: 11 - 64.7%). Tie (votes: 4 - 23.5%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5, 1st Half - under (votes: 11 - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

DNB - Belgium (4.40) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Belgium (2.48) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.75 - Italy (1.68) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 20 Selected Experts predict this event. Belgium (votes: 4 - 20%). Italy (votes: 12 - 60%). Tie (votes: 4 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Lichtfus L. (G) Le Havre 17. Janssens J. Hoffenheim 4. Tysiak A. West Ham 19. Kees S. Leicester 11. Cayman J. Leicester 22. Deloose L. RSC Anderlecht 15. Toloba A. Standard Liege 10. Vanhaevermaet J. Everton 8. Teulings J. Feyenoord 7. Eurlings H. Leuven 9. Wullaert T. (C) Inter	1. Giuliani L. (G) AC Milan 19. Lenzini M. Juventus 23. Salvai C. Juventus 5. Linari E. AS Roma 3. Di Guglielmo L. AS Roma 7. Cantore S. Washington Spirit 6. Giugliano M. AS Roma 8. Severini E. Fiorentina 17. Boattin L. Juventus 18. Caruso A. Bayern Munich 10. Girelli C. (C) Juventus
Substitutes
12. Bastiaen F. (G) Utrecht 14. Blom J. Costa Adeje Tenerife 6. De Caigny T. RSC Anderlecht 20. Detruyer M. Inter 13. Dhont E. Sassuolo 1. Evrard N. (G) PSV 18. Iliano I. Club Brugge 16. Mertens Z. 23. Missipo K. Sassuolo 2. Philtjens D. Sassuolo 3. Van Kerkhoven E. Feyenoord 5. Wijnants S. RSC Anderlecht	12. Baldi R. (G) 14. Bergamaschi V. Juventus 11. Bonansea B. Juventus 21. Cambiaghi M. Inter 22. Durante F. (G) Inter 16. Goldoni E. Lazio 20. Greggi G. AS Roma 2. Oliviero E. Lazio 9. Piemonte M. Lazio 13. Piga J. AC Milan 4. Schatzer E. Juventus 15. Serturini A. Inter
Coaches
Gunnarsdottir E.	Soncin A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
16', Lenzini M. 🟨,
33', Di Guglielmo L. 🟨,
44', 0 - 1, Caruso A. ⚽, Di Guglielmo L. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
51', Cantore S. 🟨,
53', Di Guglielmo L. ↓, Oliviero E. ↑,
53', Giugliano M. ↓, Greggi G. ↑,
66', Toloba A. ↓, Detruyer M. ↑,
66', Janssens J. ↓, Wijnants S. ↑,
72', Lenzini M. ↓, Piga J. ↑,
72', Cantore S. ↓, Cambiaghi M. ↑,
75', Eurlings H. ↓, Dhont E. ↑,
80', Kees S. 🟨,
87', Vanhaevermaet J. ↓, De Caigny T. ↑,
87', Deloose L. ↓, Van Kerkhoven E. ↑,

Preview

Belgium may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Italy is considered a favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Belgium won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:5. (average 2:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Belgium W
Friendly International Women
26.06.25	Belgium W - Greece W	2:0 ✺
20.06.25	France W - Belgium W	5:0 ✺
UEFA Nations League Women
03.06.25	Portugal W - Belgium W	0:3 ✺
30.05.25	Belgium W - Spain W	1:5 ✺
08.04.25	Belgium W - England W	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 28.8 WLWLW
- Italy W
UEFA Nations League Women
03.06.25	Wales W - Italy W	1:4 ✺
30.05.25	Italy W - Sweden W	0:0 ✺
08.04.25	Denmark W - Italy W	0:3 ✺
04.04.25	Sweden W - Italy W	3:2 ✺
25.02.25	Italy W - Denmark W	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Arnold Clark Cup Women
16.02.23	Italy W - Belgium W	1:2
UEFA Euro Women
18.07.22	Italy W - Belgium W	0:1
FIFA World Cup Women
04.09.18	Belgium W - Italy W	2:1
10.04.18	Italy W - Belgium W	2:1
International Tournament Cyprus Football Women
03.03.17	Italy W - Belgium W	1:4

Belgium W - Italy W