Match Info

Euro Women - Round 3

Date: 11 July 2025, Friday

Location: Stade de Tourbillon (Sion)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, New World Sport 2, New World Sport 4, New World Sport App, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport Maximo 360, SuperSport Premier League
Argentina	Disney+
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD
Australia	Optus Sport, Stan Sport
Austria	Sky Go Austria
Belgium	RTBF Auvio Direct, RTBF La Une, VRT Canvas
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	BHT 1
Brazil	Amazon Prime Video, Caze TV
Canada	TSN 2, TSN+
Chile	Disney+
China	ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+
Czech-republic	CT sport Plus
Denmark	TV3 Sport, Viaplay
Finland	YLE Areena
France	Free, Molotov TV, TFX
Georgia	1TV, 1TV Player
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Hong-kong	HOY TV
Iceland	RUV
India	FanCode, FanCode
Ireland	RTE News, RTE Player
Israel	Sport 3
Kenya	Gotv
Kosovo	RTK 1
Malta	TVM Sport+
Mexico	Disney+
Moldova	TVR Moldova
Montenegro	TVCG 2
Netherlands	Canal+, Sporza
Nigeria	Supersport Maximo 1, SuperSport Premier League
Norway	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport 1
Peru	Disney+
Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app
Portugal	RTP 1, Sport TV1
Romania	TVR+, TVR Sport
South-africa	SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga, Supersport Maximo 1
South-america	ViX Latin America
Spain	RTVE Play, Teledeporte
Sweden	TV10, Viaplay
Switzerland	Play RTS, Play RTS, RTS Sport, RTS Sport, SRF Info, SRF Info, SRF Play, SRF Play, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Turkey	Tabii, TRT Spor
United-kingdom	BBC iPlayer, BBC Sport
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Fox Sports 1, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com
Venezuela	Disney+


	Portugal W		Belgium W

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.8	3.8
	1.85	3.8	3.75
	1.78	3.8	3.85
	1.89	3.93	3.86
				Watch
	1.85	3.7	3.75
	1.85	4.07	4.07
	1.88	3.7	3.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↑ (1.73)	3.83 ↑ (3.83)	3.85 ↓ (4.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Portugal W
50.9%

Draw
24.6%

Belgium W
24.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.5%

24.7%

20.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.7%

24.6%

20.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Portugal W has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Belgium W has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portugal W than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Belgium W than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	13.9%	11.1%

Portugal W - Belgium W Predictions

Users Predictions: 35 users predict this event. Portugal will win (votes: 26 - 74.3%). Belgium will win (votes: 4 - 11.4%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 14.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Portugal: 59.8% – 88.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. Portugal (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5, 1st Half - under (votes: 8 - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

DNB - Belgium (2.93) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Belgium (1.96) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 13 Selected Experts predict this event. Portugal (votes: 8 - 61.5%). Belgium (votes: 2 - 15.4%). Tie (votes: 3 - 23.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Morais P. (G) Braga 19. Gomes D. Sevilla 15. Costa C. (C) SL Benfica 13. Pinto F. Sporting 11. Pinto T. Atl. Madrid 2. Amado C. SL Benfica 8. Norton A. SL Benfica 7. Nazareth K. Barcelona 5. Marchao J. Servette 17. Silva D. Sporting 21. Capeta A. Sporting	21. Lichtfus L. (G) Le Havre 17. Janssens J. Hoffenheim 4. Tysiak A. West Ham 19. Kees S. Leicester 11. Cayman J. Leicester 22. Deloose L. RSC Anderlecht 15. Toloba A. Standard Liege 10. Vanhaevermaet J. Everton 8. Teulings J. Feyenoord 9. Wullaert T. (C) Inter 14. Blom J. Costa Adeje Tenerife
Substitutes
20. Bea Sporting 18. Correia C. Torreense 22. Cota-Yarde S. (G) 23. Encarnacao T. Sporting 16. Faria A. SL Benfica 6. Jacinto A. Real Sociedad 4. Seica A. Tigres UANL 14. Silva D. Braga 10. Silva J. Gotham FC 3. Sousa Alves L. C. SL Benfica 1. Teixeira Pereira I. (G)	12. Bastiaen F. (G) Utrecht 6. De Caigny T. RSC Anderlecht 20. Detruyer M. Inter 13. Dhont E. Sassuolo 7. Eurlings H. Leuven 1. Evrard N. (G) PSV 18. Iliano I. Club Brugge 16. Mertens Z. 23. Missipo K. Sassuolo 2. Philtjens D. Sassuolo 3. Van Kerkhoven E. Feyenoord 5. Wijnants S. RSC Anderlecht
Coaches
Neto F.	Gunnarsdottir E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
3', 0 - 1, Wullaert T. ⚽, Janssens J. (A),
30', Gomes D. 🟨,
34', Blom J. ↓, Detruyer M. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Norton A. ↓, Jacinto A. ↑,
46', Amado C. ↓, Sousa Alves L. C. ↑,
56', Capeta A. ↓, Silva J. ↑,
60', Vanhaevermaet J. 🟨,
70', Silva D. ↓, Encarnacao T. ↑,
79', Teulings J. ↓, Dhont E. ↑,
79', Janssens J. ↓, Philtjens D. ↑,
79', Marchao J. ↓, Silva D. ↑,
87', 1 - 1, Encarnacao T. ⚽, Nazareth K. (A),
89', Dhont E. 🟨,
90+1', Pinto F. 🟨,
90+6', 1 - 2, Cayman J. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Portugal won 2.

Recent form of Portugal has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Belgium has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Portugal is a strong favorite.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Portugal won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 5:12. (average 0.6:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Portugal W
UEFA Euro Women
07.07.25	Portugal W - Italy W	1:1 ✺
03.07.25	Spain W - Portugal W	5:0 ✺
Friendly International Women
23.06.25	Portugal W - Nigeria W	0:0 ✺
UEFA Nations League Women
03.06.25	Portugal W - Belgium W	0:3 ✺
30.05.25	England W - Portugal W	6:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 TLTLL
- Belgium W
UEFA Euro Women
07.07.25	Spain W - Belgium W	6:2 ✺
03.07.25	Belgium W - Italy W	0:1 ✺
Friendly International Women
26.06.25	Belgium W - Greece W	2:0 ✺
20.06.25	France W - Belgium W	5:0 ✺
UEFA Nations League Women
03.06.25	Portugal W - Belgium W	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Nations League Women
03.06.25	Portugal W - Belgium W	0:3
26.02.25	Belgium W - Portugal W	0:1
FIFA World Cup Women
06.10.22	Portugal W - Belgium W	2:1
Algarve Cup Women
07.03.20	Belgium W - Portugal W	1:0
FIFA World Cup Women
06.04.18	Belgium W - Portugal W	1:1
24.10.17	Portugal W - Belgium W	0:1
17.09.14	Portugal W - Belgium W	0:1

Portugal W - Belgium W: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide