Match Info

Date: 7 May 2022, Saturday


	Belgrano		Almirante Brown

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.4	5
	1.77	3.25	4.75
	1.67	3.35	4.9
	1.73	3.15	4.8
	1.76	3.45	5.23
	1.78	3.1	4.75
	1.75	3.38	4.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↑ (1.68)	3.3 ↓ (3.32)	4.88 ↓ (5.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Belgrano
52.9%

Draw
28.1%

Almirante Brown
19%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.6%

27.7%

17.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.8%

28.1%

18%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Belgrano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Almirante Brown has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Belgrano than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Almirante Brown than the current prediction. (-1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
69.2%	30.8%	0%

Belgrano - Almirante Brown Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Belgrano will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 30.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Belgrano: 44.1% – 94.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Profesional and 15).

Belgrano in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Almirante Brown is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Belgrano could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Belgrano is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Belgrano to win the game is with odds 1.79.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Belgrano won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Belgrano won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Belgrano de Cordoba
Argentinian Primera Nacional
30.04.22	Villa Dálmine - Belgrano	0:1 ✺
16.04.22	Belgrano - Deportivo Riestra	2:1 ✺
11.04.22	Güemes - Belgrano	0:1 ✺
01.04.22	Belgrano - All Boys	2:1 ✺
27.03.22	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza - Belgrano	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WWWWW
- Almirante Brown
Argentinian Primera Nacional
30.04.22	Almirante Brown - Deportivo Riestra	1:1 ✺
24.04.22	Güemes - Almirante Brown	2:1 ✺
17.04.22	Almirante Brown - All Boys	2:2 ✺
09.04.22	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza - Almirante Brown	1:0 ✺
03.04.22	Almirante Brown - San Telmo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 TLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
10.09.21	Belgrano - Almirante Brown	0:1
02.05.21	Almirante Brown - Belgrano	1:0

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