Match Info

ARGENTINA: PRIMERA NACIONAL - PROMOTION - PLAY OFFS - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 26 November 2023, Sunday


	Almirante Brown		Deportivo Riestra

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.1	3.75	Watch
	2.15	2.9	3.4
	2.25	2.9	3.5	Watch
	2.25	2.88	3.95
	2.25	2.88	3.95
	2.15	3	3.4
	2.12	3.05	3.82
	2.2	2.95	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↑ (2.11)	2.96 ↓ (3)	3.66 ↑ (3.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Almirante Brown
42.8%

Draw
31.7%

Deportivo Riestra
25.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.4%

30.6%

26%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.7%

30.8%

25.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Almirante Brown has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Deportivo Riestra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Almirante Brown than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Riestra than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	50%	0%

Almirante Brown - Deportivo Riestra Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Almirante Brown will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Martinez R. (G) 6. Barrionuevo A. 9. Batallini M. 10. Bazan N. 2. Dattola A. 5. Enrique M. 7. Guzman L. 4. Moreno C. 3. Ochoa A. 11. Rivero G. 8. Santiago M.	1. Arce I. (G) 10. Acuna W. 7. Antonini F. 8. Celiz M. 6. Dematei N. 11. Fernandez G. 2. Goitia J. 4. Iribarren N. 5. Ramirez P. 9. Romero L. 3. Tovo E.
Substitutes
. Belloso M. 17. Escurra J. L. 12. Ferreyra N. (G) 20. Garcia D. 16. Garcia J. 14. Mino F. 19. Stable Facundo N. . Vazquez J. 21. Vera S.	12. Aguero F. (G) 13. Benitez G. 20. Gonzalez Herrero R. 16. Goya J. 18. Landriel L. 14. Mac Eachen E. 19. Portillo S. 17. Villoldo T. 15. Zaninovic M.
Coaches
Franco D.	Modolo M.

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 0-2.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Almirante Brown won 2.

Recent matches Almirante Brown is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Deportivo Riestra in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Deportivo Riestra could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Almirante Brown will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Almirante Brown won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 8-17.

Including matches at home between the teams Almirante Brown won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 3-11.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Almirante Brown
Argentinian Primera Nacional
20.11.23	Deportivo Riestra - Almirante Brown	2:0 ✺
11.11.23	Almirante Brown - Ferro Carril Oeste	0:0 ✺
05.11.23	Ferro Carril Oeste - Almirante Brown	1:1 ✺
29.10.23	Almirante Brown - Independiente Rivadavia	0:2 ET ✺
16.10.23	Almirante Brown - Temperley	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LTTLW
- Deportivo Riestra
Argentinian Primera Nacional
20.11.23	Deportivo Riestra - Almirante Brown	2:0 ✺
13.11.23	Quilmes - Deportivo Riestra	0:1 ✺
07.11.23	Deportivo Riestra - Quilmes	1:1 ✺
27.10.23	San Martín de Tucumán - Deportivo Riestra	0:1 ✺
15.10.23	Gimnasia Jujuy - Deportivo Riestra	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.1 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
20.11.23	Deportivo Riestra - Almirante Brown	2:0
30.04.22	Almirante Brown - Deportivo Riestra	1:1
18.09.21	Almirante Brown - Deportivo Riestra	1:0
11.05.21	Deportivo Riestra - Almirante Brown	1:2
Argentinian Primera B
27.04.19	Almirante Brown - Deportivo Riestra	0:1
17.11.18	Deportivo Riestra - Almirante Brown	1:1
29.04.17	Deportivo Riestra - Almirante Brown	0:1

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