The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza 59.8%
Draw 26%
Almirante Brown 14.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
61.5%
25%
13.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
62.8%
24.5%
13.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
Almirante Brown has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza than the current prediction. (+3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Almirante Brown than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza - Almirante Brown Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Petruchi L. (G) 4. Nadalin F. 2. Mondino D. (C) 6. Carrera L. 3. Saavedra F. 10. Bustos L. 5. Antonio I. 8. Munoz M. 11. Lencioni F. 7. Servetto N. 9. Ferreyra B.
1. Galvan B. (G) 4. Alegre Rojas G. 2. Dattola A. (C) 6. Levi M. 3. Villoldo T. 11. Gonzalez R. 7. Cardozo E. 5. Machado W. 8. Iglesias L. 10. Almada T. 9. Villalba S.
Substitutes
19. Andrada B. 13. Barboza N. 17. Cingolani L. 14. Cortez I. 18. Esposito G. 20. Galeano M. 16. Recalde M. 12. Rigamonti C. (G) 15. Torres F.
18. Belloso M. 15. Cenci B. 14. Elias L. 20. Garcia D. 17. Garcia F. 12. Martinez R. (G) 16. Quinteros T. 19. Vega L. 13. Velazquez J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
10', 0 - 1, Villalba S. ⚽, Villoldo T. (A),
13', Bustos L. 🟨,
31', Iglesias L. 🟨,
40', Nadalin F. ↓, Cortez I. ↑,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Servetto N. ↓, Galeano M. ↑,
46', Bustos L. ↓, Andrada B. ↑,
55', 1 - 1, Carrera L. ⚽, Ferreyra B. (A),
58', Iglesias L. ↓, Cenci B. ↑,
61', Saavedra F. 🟨,
73', 2 - 1, Ferreyra B. ⚽, Galeano M. (A),
76', Levi M. 🟨,
77', Almada T. ↓, Garcia F. ↑,
78', Cardozo E. ↓, Garcia D. ↑,
78', Gonzalez R. ↓, Belloso M. ↑,
80', Lencioni F. ↓, Recalde M. ↑,
87', Ferreyra B. ↓, Torres F. ↑,
87', Machado W. ↓, Vega L. ↑,
Preview
This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Super final: ) and 16).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gimnasia Mendoza won 2.
Gimnasia Mendoza is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
In recent matches, Almirante Brown has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
In this match, Gimnasia Mendoza is the clear favorite.
We predict that Gimnasia Mendoza will win today's game, with odds of 1.56.
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Gimnasia Mendoza won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 13:6. (average 1.6:0.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Gimnasia Mendoza won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:4. (average 2.3:1).
Argentina
World
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Petruchi L. (G) 
Machado W. 
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