The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Barracas Central 27.6%
Draw 32.2%
Independiente Rivadavia 40.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
27.9%
29.7%
42.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
27.9%
29.7%
42.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Barracas Central has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
Independiente Rivadavia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barracas Central than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Rivadavia than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
30%
60%
10%
Barracas Central - Independiente Rivadavia Predictions
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Barracas Central will win (votes: 3 - 30%). Independiente R will win (votes: 1 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 60%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 29.6% – 90.4%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Barracas Central (votes: 1 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Barracas Central (votes: 2 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
30. Mino M. (G) 28. Bogarin R. 13. Barrios R. 15. Rak Y. 31. Demartini N. 17. Pereyra E. 35. Rolon E. 5. Miloc D. 10. Tapia I. (C) 11. Briasco N. 20. Candia J.
30. Bolcato N. (G) 2. Costa L. 40. Villalba I. 42. Studer S. (C) 25. Florentin Bobadilla J. I. 14. Gomez L. 10. Fernandez M. 77. Sequeira L. 3. Elordi J. M. 43. Sartori F. 17. Salas M.
Substitutes
19. Arce C. 7. Barbieri J. 77. Bruera F. 37. Campi G. 2. Capraro N. 43. Fernandez L. (G) 16. Guaraz I. A. 6. Insua R. 36. Lavezzi T. 33. Maroni G. 4. Martinez D. 24. Taborda E.
19. Atencio R. 5. Bottari T. 8. Bucca L. 27. Crego D. 23. Diaz L. 21. Gomez Riga E. F. (G) 34. Moreyra S. 13. Osella A. 7. Ramis V. 11. Rios G. 32. Vazquez K. A. 28. Vigo A.
Coaches
Ayude D.
Berti A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
12', 0 - 1, Florentin Bobadilla J. I. ⚽, Gomez L. (A),
45+2', Pereyra E. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
53', Rolon E. ↓, Maroni G. ↑,
60', Demartini N. 🟨,
61', Pereyra E. ↓, Insua R. ↑,
61', Bogarin R. ↓, Taborda E. ↑,
68', Sequeira L. ↓, Bottari T. ↑,
68', Salas M. ↓, Bucca L. ↑,
77', Sartori F. ↓, Diaz L. ↑,
77', Briasco N. ↓, Bruera F. ↑,
77', Barrios R. ↓, Martinez D. ↑,
81', Insua R. 🟨,
89', Gomez L. 🟨,
89', Taborda E. 🟨,
90', Fernandez M. ↓, Rios G. ↑,
90', Gomez L. ↓, Vigo A. ↑,
90+3', Maroni G. 🟨,
90+4', Mino M. 🟨,
Preview
A tightly contested fixture between two evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 11th and 7th in the Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Clausura ~ Playoffs1/8~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Barracas Central won 2.
Barracas Central is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Independiente R has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Independiente R is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
Confirmed absences for Barracas Central: Duarte M.
(Knee Injury)
Espinola J.
(Inactive)
Gamba L.
(Muscle Injury)
Morales G.
(Coach's decision)
Orsini N.
(Knee Injury)
Tobio F.
(Injury).
Confirmed absences for Independiente R: Bonifacio E.
(Inactive)
Macagno R.
(Muscle Injury).
In the last 9 head-to-head meetings, Barracas Central has recorded 4 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 10:10 (averaging 1.1:1.1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Barracas Central against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with 5:8 goals (averaging 1:1.6 per game).
Last Results with these Odds
Barracas Central - the odds 3.38 are the expected chance of winning is 27.94%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.
Argentina
South-america
Usa
Venezuela
World
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Mino M. (G) 
Bogarin R. 
Rak Y. 
Briasco N. 
Diaz L. 
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