The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
San Lorenzo de Almagro 63%
Draw 23.5%
Gimnasia La Plata 13.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
67.7%
22.5%
9.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
71.5%
21.3%
9.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
San Lorenzo de Almagro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)
Gimnasia La Plata has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Lorenzo de Almagro than the current prediction. (+8.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for San Lorenzo de Almagro, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gimnasia La Plata than the current prediction. (-4.2%)
San Lorenzo de Almagro - Gimnasia La Plata Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
22', 1 - 0, ⚽,
26', 2 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 3 and 15).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, San Lorenzo won 2.
Recent performances by San Lorenzo have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Gimnasia La Plata has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
In this match, San Lorenzo is the undisputed favorite.
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, San Lorenzo won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 17:7. (average 2.1:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, San Lorenzo won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 1.7:0.7).
Watch
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