The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
San Lorenzo de Almagro 33.7%
Draw 31%
Racing 35.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
38.8%
31%
30.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
41%
32.7%
28.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
San Lorenzo de Almagro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that San Lorenzo de Almagro's form might have worsened.
Racing has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Racing's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Lorenzo de Almagro than the current prediction. (+7.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for San Lorenzo de Almagro, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Racing than the current prediction. (-6.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Racing, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
San Lorenzo de Almagro - Racing Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
70', 1 - 0, ⚽,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, San Lorenzo won 0.
San Lorenzo has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Racing is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Racing may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, San Lorenzo has had a series of away games.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
In the last 9 head-to-head matches, San Lorenzo won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:12. (average 1.3:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, San Lorenzo won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:7. (average 2:1.8).