Match Info

ARGENTINA: Reserve League - First stage - Round 13

Date: 22 May 2024, Wednesday


	Belgrano 2		River Plate 2

	1	X	2
	2.35	3.2	2.6
	2.45	3.2	2.65	Watch
	2.5	3.2	2.76
	2.51	3.15	2.76
	2.38	3.2	2.62
	2.43	3.18	2.63	Watch
	2.45	3.2	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.44 ↑ (2.33)	3.19 ↑ (3.13)	2.67 ↓ (3.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Belgrano 2
37.3%

Draw
28.5%

River Plate 2
34.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.8%

29.6%

30.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.4%

30.8%

29.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Belgrano 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

River Plate 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Belgrano 2 than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for River Plate 2 than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

Belgrano 2 - River Plate 2 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
13', 0 - 1, Subiabre I. ⚽,
37', 0 - 2, Gonzalez A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Reserve League (First stage ~ Play Offs: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Reserve League (First stage ~ Play Offs: )).

Recent matches Belgrano 2 is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

River Plate 2 is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

River Plate 2 could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Belgrano 2 won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Belgrano 2
Argentinian Reserve League
14.05.24	San Lorenzo 2 - Belgrano 2	2:0 ✺
07.05.24	Belgrano 2 - Racing Club 2	2:1 ✺
23.04.24	Vélez Sársfield 2 - Belgrano 2	4:0 ✺
17.04.24	Belgrano 2 - Gimnasia La Plata 2	6:2 ✺
09.04.24	Rosario Central 2 - Belgrano 2	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 LWLWW
- River Plate 2
Argentinian Reserve League
15.05.24	River Plate 2 - Banfield 2	1:2 ✺
08.05.24	Deportivo Riestra 2 - River Plate 2	0:1 ✺
25.04.24	River Plate 2 - Instituto 2	1:0 ✺
18.04.24	Argentinos Juniors 2 - River Plate 2	0:1 ✺
10.04.24	River Plate 2 - Atlético Tucumán 2	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Reserve League
03.02.23	River Plate 2 - Belgrano 2	1:2

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