Match Info

URUGUAY: SEGUNDA DIVISION - ROUND 18

Date: 20 October 2023, Friday


	Bella Vista		Miramar Misiones

	1	X	2
	3.25	2.95	2.1	Watch
	3.3	3	2.15
	3.53	3.13	2.09
	3.53	3.13	2.07
	3.1	3	2.2
	3.5	3.1	2.03	Watch
	3.3	3	2.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.36 ↓ (4.53)	3.04 ↓ (3.29)	2.11 ↑ (1.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bella Vista
27.1%

Draw
29.9%

Miramar Misiones
43.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.9%

27.4%

52.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.4%

26.7%

54.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bella Vista has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bella Vista's performance.

Miramar Misiones has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Miramar Misiones might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bella Vista than the current prediction. (-7.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bella Vista that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Miramar Misiones than the current prediction. (+11%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Miramar Misiones could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	14.3%	85.7%

Bella Vista - Miramar Misiones Predictions

Users Predictions: Miramar Misiones will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 12 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Division (Apertura: )).

Recent matches Bella Vista is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Miramar Misiones is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Miramar Misiones will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Bella Vista won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Bella Vista won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Bella Vista
Uruguayan Segunda Division
15.10.23	Progreso - Bella Vista	2:0 ✺
Uruguay Copa
11.10.23	Ferro Carril - Bella Vista	1:0 penalties ✺
Uruguayan Segunda Division
07.10.23	Bella Vista - Uruguay Montevideo	1:1 ✺
03.09.23	Albion Montevideo - Bella Vista	0:1 ✺
27.08.23	Bella Vista - Sud América	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.7 LLTWW
- Miramar Misiones
Uruguayan Segunda Division
15.10.23	Miramar Misiones - Rentistas	0:0 ✺
Uruguay Copa
11.10.23	Terremoto - Miramar Misiones	1:2 ✺
Uruguayan Segunda Division
08.10.23	Tacuarembó - Miramar Misiones	1:3 ✺
02.09.23	Progreso - Miramar Misiones	1:1 ✺
27.08.23	Miramar Misiones - Uruguay Montevideo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 TWWTT

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Segunda Division
04.06.23	Miramar Misiones - Bella Vista	4:0
05.03.23	Bella Vista - Miramar Misiones	1:1

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