Match Info

URUGUAY: SEGUNDA DIVISION - ROUND 16

Date: 7 October 2023, Saturday

Location: Estadio José Nasazzi (Montevideo)


	Bella Vista		Uruguay Montevideo

	1	X	2
	4.1	3.25	1.75
	4.2	3.3	1.8
	4.35	3.3	1.79
	4.3	3.3	1.77
	4.3	3.3	1.77
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.25 ↓ (4.38)	3.29 ↓ (3.39)	1.78 ↑ (1.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bella Vista
21.3%

Draw
27.6%

Uruguay Montevideo
51.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.9%

27%

52.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.7%

26.8%

52.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bella Vista has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Uruguay Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bella Vista than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Uruguay Montevideo than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.1%	0%	88.9%

Bella Vista - Uruguay Montevideo Predictions

Users Predictions: Uruguay Montevideo will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 11 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Division (Apertura: )).

Recent matches Bella Vista is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Uruguay Montevideo in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Uruguay Montevideo is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Bella Vista won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Bella Vista
Uruguayan Segunda Division
03.09.23	Albion Montevideo - Bella Vista	0:1 ✺
27.08.23	Bella Vista - Sud América	1:0 ✺
29.07.23	Bella Vista - Juventud de Las Piedras	1:2 ✺
22.07.23	Atenas de San Carlos - Bella Vista	1:0 ✺
15.07.23	Bella Vista - Rampla Juniors	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.8 WWLLT
- Uruguay Montevideo
Uruguayan Segunda Division
03.09.23	Uruguay Montevideo - Rentistas	2:1 ✺
27.08.23	Miramar Misiones - Uruguay Montevideo	1:1 ✺
29.07.23	Progreso - Uruguay Montevideo	1:2 ✺
22.07.23	Uruguay Montevideo - Tacuarembó	3:0 ✺
15.07.23	Uruguay Montevideo - Albion Montevideo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Segunda Division
21.05.23	Uruguay Montevideo - Bella Vista	1:0

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