Match Info

Segunda Division - Round 19

Date: 19 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Parque Palermo (Montevideo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Antel TV, DirecTV Sports, Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Miramar Misiones		Uruguay Montevideo

	1	X	2
	2.37	2.87	2.80
	2.38	2.85	2.85
	2.49	2.99	2.89
	2.5	3.02	2.95	Watch
	2.4	2.85	2.75
	2.4	2.88	2.79
	2.38	2.9	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.42 ↓ (2.5)	2.91 ↓ (3)	2.84 ↑ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Miramar Misiones
37.3%

Draw
31%

Uruguay Montevideo
31.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.8%

29.8%

34.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.6%

27.9%

36.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Miramar Misiones has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Uruguay Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Miramar Misiones than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Uruguay Montevideo than the current prediction. (+5%)

Miramar Misiones - Uruguay Montevideo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
28', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A high-tension relegation six-pointer between two sides desperate to escape the danger zone (ranked 13th and 14th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Miramar Misiones won 2.

In recent outings, Miramar Misiones has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Uruguay Montevideo has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Miramar Misiones could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Miramar Misiones has recorded 2 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 8:9 (averaging 1.3:1.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Miramar Misiones against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with 2:4 goals (averaging 0.7:1.3 per game).

Standings

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Miramar	21	6	7	8	23:26	-3	25
14	Uruguay Montevideo	21	4	5	12	19:31	-12	17

Last Results with these Odds

Miramar Misiones - the odds 2.5 are the expected chance of winning is 35.78%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Miramar Misiones
Uruguayan Segunda Division
11.09.26	Oriental de La Paz - Miramar Misiones	1:3 ✺
05.09.26	Miramar Misiones - Colón Montevideo	0:1 ✺
30.08.26	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Miramar Misiones	1:1 ✺
21.08.26	Miramar Misiones - Rentistas	1:1 ✺
15.08.26	River Plate Montevideo - Miramar Misiones	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 WLTTL
- Uruguay Montevideo
Uruguayan Segunda Division
12.09.26	Uruguay Montevideo - Tacuarembó	2:2 ✺
07.09.26	Plaza Colonia - Uruguay Montevideo	1:0 ✺
29.08.26	Uruguay Montevideo - La Luz	0:0 ✺
22.08.26	Cerrito - Uruguay Montevideo	3:0 ✺
15.08.26	Uruguay Montevideo - Atenas de San Carlos	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 TLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Segunda Division
13.06.26	Uruguay Montevideo - Miramar Misiones	1:3
27.08.23	Miramar Misiones - Uruguay Montevideo	1:1
06.05.23	Uruguay Montevideo - Miramar Misiones	1:2
28.08.22	Miramar Misiones - Uruguay Montevideo	0:0
04.06.22	Uruguay Montevideo - Miramar Misiones	3:1
25.03.22	Miramar Misiones - Uruguay Montevideo	1:3

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