Match Info

Liga AUF Uruguaya - Clausura - Round 6

Date: 7 September 2025, Sunday

Location: Parque Abraham Paladino (Montevideo)

Referee: Cianni J. (Uru)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+
Peru	Disney+
South-america	Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica
Uruguay	Disney+, VTV+
Usa	Fanatiz
Venezuela	Disney+, Inter


	Progreso		Miramar Misiones

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.4	3.2	Watch
	2.15	3.1	3.2
	2.1	3.2	3.3	Watch
	2.25	3.15	3.67
	1.44	4.42	6.66	Watch
	2.19	3.26	3.26	Watch
	2.4	3.25	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↓ (2.39)	3.4 ↑ (3.23)	3.73 ↑ (2.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Progreso
46%

Draw
28.3%

Miramar Misiones
25.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.5%

28.5%

33%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Progreso has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Progreso's performance.

Miramar Misiones has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Miramar Misiones might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Progreso - Miramar Misiones Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gentilio N. (G) 16. Trasante G. 4. Paolini M. 23. Olivera Moreira L. N. 40. Cougo A. 18. Silva G. 8. Colombino A. 29. Fernandez N. 10. Lemmo I. 19. Lopez F. 26. Copelotti M.	30. Moreno J. (G) 16. Gomez M. 19. Olivera A. 25. Ayala J. 4. Lopez P. 23. Nunez D. 8. Pandiani A. 22. Diaz O. 17. Saliadarre E. 9. Da Silva S. 37. Roldan M.
Coaches
Rocco L.	Giordano B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
11', 1 - 0, Fernandez N. ⚽,
12', 1 - 1, Nunez D. ⚽,
19', Olivera Moreira L. N. 🟨,
27', 2 - 1, Lemmo I. (Pen),
34', Lemmo I. 🟨,
45+1', 2 - 2, Da Silva S. (Pen),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
53', 3 - 2, Lopez F. ⚽,
56', Nunez D. ↓, Ramirez G. ↑,
56', Saliadarre E. ↓, Yepez I. ↑,
64', Da Silva S. ↓, Gelos N. ↑,
69', Gentilio N. 🟨,
74', Trasante G. 🟨,
75', Pandiani A. ↓, Tirado F. ↑,
75', Roldan M. ↓, Crisafi J. F. ↑,
78', Lopez F. ↓, Sosa F. ↑,
82', Lemmo I. ↓, Carroso H. ↑,
82', Copelotti M. ↓, Hernandez R. ↑,
83', Silva G. 🟨,
90+2', Silva G. ↓, Pinheiro A. ↑,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 14 and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Progreso won 2.

Progreso has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Miramar Misiones has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Progreso may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Progreso might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Progreso won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:7. (average 1.3:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Progreso won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 0.8:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Progreso
Uruguayan Primera Division
31.08.25	Boston River - Progreso	2:1 ✺
24.08.25	Progreso - Danubio	1:0 ✺
16.08.25	Nacional Montevideo - Progreso	3:1 ✺
09.08.25	Progreso - Cerro Largo	1:2 ✺
01.08.25	Peñarol de Montevideo - Progreso	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LWLLL
- Miramar Misiones
Uruguayan Primera Division
31.08.25	Danubio - Miramar Misiones	2:3 ✺
23.08.25	Miramar Misiones - Cerro Largo	1:1 ✺
16.08.25	Juventud de Las Piedras - Miramar Misiones	2:1 ✺
10.08.25	Miramar Misiones - Liverpool Montevideo	0:1 ✺
03.08.25	Plaza Colonia - Miramar Misiones	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 WTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division
08.06.25	Progreso - Miramar Misiones	1:0
15.03.25	Miramar Misiones - Progreso	1:1
18.08.24	Progreso - Miramar Misiones	0:0
17.02.24	Miramar Misiones - Progreso	2:3
Uruguayan Segunda Division
02.09.23	Progreso - Miramar Misiones	1:1
13.05.23	Miramar Misiones - Progreso	2:2
23.07.22	Progreso - Miramar Misiones	1:1

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