Match Info

Challenge League - Round 24

Date: 27 February 2026, Friday

Location: Stadio Comunale Bellinzona (Bellinzona)

Referee: Qovanaj H. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1


	Bellinzona		Yverdon

	1	X	2
	3	3.3	2.18
	3.38	3.48	2.16
	3.23	3.58	2.1	Watch
	3	3.1	2.1
	3.24	3.3	2.05	Watch
	3.1	3.25	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.16 ↑ (2.8)	3.34 ↑ (3.22)	2.12 ↓ (2.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bellinzona
29.1%

Draw
27.5%

Yverdon
43.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.6%

28.4%

39%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.6%

28.4%

39%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bellinzona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Yverdon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bellinzona than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yverdon than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Bellinzona - Yverdon Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Yverdon will win (votes: 8 - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Yverdon: 100% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Yverdon (1.58) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Yverdon will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Yverdon (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Muci A. (G) 23. Goncalves M. 3. Sorensen A. 6. Trapero 91. Mihajlovic D. (C) 25. Ayala D. 88. Mosquera D. 8. Rey A. 20. Mayorga J. 7. Rossier E. 11. Vogt W.	1. Enzler S. (G) 32. Sauthier A. (C) 24. Gnakpa J. 82. Thiam M. 18. Kongsro V. 4. Doumbia O. 8. Chappuis A. 10. Marchesano A. 26. Golliard R. 44. Pasche E. 27. Neelakandan R.
Substitutes
14. Bomo J. 34. Fetahu E. 45. Jaiteh M. 80. Kury J. 99. Lopez A. 5. Rizvanovic M. 19. Sadiku A. 79. Shala L. 22. Trochen E. (G)	50. Bittarelli L. 7. Kanoute M. 37. Lemina N. 22. Martin K. (G) 12. Saiz F. 19. Sessolo H. 20. Tasar V. 2. Tijani M. 17. Weber P.
Coaches
Sannino G.	Ursea A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
2', 0 - 1, Golliard R. ⚽, Pasche E. (A),
19', Sorensen A. 🟨,
19', Sorensen A. 🟨,
28', Gnakpa J. 🟨,
32', Doumbia O. 🟨,
40', Thiam M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
46', Doumbia O. ↓, Weber P. ↑,
46', Thiam M. ↓, Tijani M. ↑,
49', Marchesano A. 🟨,
58', 0 - 2, Pasche E. ⚽, Sauthier A. (A),
64', Neelakandan R. ↓, Sessolo H. ↑,
64', Marchesano A. ↓, Saiz F. ↑,
64', Mayorga J. ↓, Bomo J. ↑,
64', Rey A. ↓, Sadiku A. ↑,
70', Bomo J. 🟨,
76', Vogt W. ↓, Rizvanovic M. ↑,
76', Rossier E. ↓, Jaiteh M. ↑,
76', Ayala D. ↓, Lopez A. ↑,
78', Pasche E. ↓, Tasar V. ↑,
84', 0 - 3, Kongsro V. ⚽, Tasar V. (A),
89', 0 - 4, Tasar V. ⚽, Sauthier A. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bellinzona won 1.

Bellinzona has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Yverdon is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Yverdon is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Bellinzona: Dermaku D. (Injury) Jashari E. (Inactive) Lymann F. (Injury) Osigwe S. (Inactive) Shabani M. (Inactive)

There will not play in Yverdon: Busset R. (Injury) Camara S. (Inactive) Gunnarsson N. (Inactive) Le Pogam W. (Leg Injury) Pos L. (Inactive) Sorgic D. (Muscle Injury)

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Bellinzona won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 7:13. (average 0.6:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Bellinzona won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:7. (average 0.5:1.2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Yverdon	9	4	4	1	14:9	5	16

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Bellinzona
Swiss Challenge League
20.02.26	Rapperswil-Jona - Bellinzona	2:1 ✺
13.02.26	Bellinzona - Vaduz	0:2 ✺
06.02.26	Stade Nyonnais - Bellinzona	1:1 ✺
30.01.26	Bellinzona - Neuchâtel Xamax	5:0 ✺
24.01.26	Aarau - Bellinzona	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LLTWL
- Yverdon-Sport FC
Swiss Challenge League
20.02.26	Étoile Carouge - Yverdon	2:2 ✺
13.02.26	Yverdon - Stade Nyonnais	1:0 ✺
07.02.26	Rapperswil-Jona - Yverdon	1:4 ✺
Swiss Cup
03.02.26	Neuchâtel Xamax - Yverdon	1:2 ✺
Swiss Challenge League
30.01.26	Yverdon - Aarau	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 TWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Swiss Challenge League
19.10.25	Yverdon - Bellinzona	2:0
26.08.25	Bellinzona - Yverdon	0:0
21.04.23	Yverdon - Bellinzona	1:2
29.01.23	Bellinzona - Yverdon	0:2
22.10.22	Bellinzona - Yverdon	1:2
02.09.22	Yverdon - Bellinzona	0:1
Swiss Promotion League
05.04.21	Bellinzona - Yverdon	1:1

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