Match Info

Pershaya Liga - Round 24

Date: 12 September 2025, Friday

Location: Spartak Stadium (Bobruisk)


	Belshina		Lida

	1	X	2
	1.78	3.7	3.74
	1.94	3	3.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↓ (1.95)	3.35 ↑ (3.1)	3.7 ↓ (3.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Belshina
48.6%

Draw
27%

Lida
24.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.1%

29.6%

23.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.9%

28.9%

23.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Belshina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Lida has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Belshina than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lida than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Belshina - Lida Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
54. Patsenko N. (G) 7. Achapovskiy A. 8. Balbukh V. (C) 88. Dubovskiy P. 21. Golub N. 78. Kovalevich V. 3. Kuchinskiy A. 44. Shestilovskiy S. 19. Sokolovskiy N. 17. Vikhrov I. 77. Zimin A.	25. Gremza E. (C) 18. Askerov R. 4. Bulychev A. 21. Burnos A. 8. Galushko A. 13. Karpovich E. 14. Khodyko D. 5. Krasnov M. 11. Kutsepalov D. 7. Radzhabov A. 23. Yormie T.
Substitutes
16. Bolotnikov K. 66. Bolotnikov V. 14. Drapeza V. 35. Frolov I. (G) 22. Kabachevskiy V. 10. Kozlov Y. 99. Kulikov D.	16. Gremza I. (G) 12. Gribovskiy R. 9. Guzarevich S. 2. Kononchuk E. 3. Lazarev A. 10. Shepet N. 17. Vasilkevich M. 1. Vasilyev A. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
2', 0 - 1, Karpovich E. ⚽, Yormie T. (A),
34', 1 - 1, Achapovskiy A. ⚽, Golub N. (A),
34', Khodyko D. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
65', 2 - 1, Achapovskiy A. ⚽, Golub N. (A),
66', Zimin A. ↓, Kozlov Y. ↑,
71', 3 - 1, Achapovskiy A. ⚽, Golub N. (A),
71', Galushko A. ↓, Guzarevich S. ↑,
81', Askerov R. ↓, Vasilkevich M. ↑,
81', Krasnov M. ↓, Shepet N. ↑,
84', Achapovskiy A. ↓, Kabachevskiy V. ↑,
90', Golub N. ↓, Kulikov D. ↑,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 8 and 5).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Belshina won 5.

In recent matches, Belshina has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Lida is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

In this match, Belshina is the team to beat.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Belshina won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 19:5. (average 2.4:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Belshina won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:4. (average 2.3:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Belshina Bobruisk
Belarusian Pershaya Liga
06.09.25	Minsk 2 - Belshina	1:1 ✺
30.08.25	Belshina - Ostrovets	0:2 ✺
23.08.25	Volna Pinsk - Belshina	3:3 ✺
16.08.25	Belshina - Gomel 2	2:1 ✺
09.08.25	Baranovichi - Belshina	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 TLTWL
- FC Lida
Belarusian Pershaya Liga
05.09.25	Lida - Slonim	4:2 ✺
30.08.25	Lokomotiv Gomel - Lida	1:0 ✺
23.08.25	Lida - Orsha	2:0 ✺
15.08.25	Lida - Minsk 2	3:1 ✺
09.08.25	Ostrovets - Lida	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Belarusian Pershaya Liga
25.09.24	Lida - Belshina	1:5
05.09.21	Lida - Belshina	0:4
19.06.21	Belshina - Lida	4:2
16.11.19	Belshina - Lida	2:1
13.07.19	Lida - Belshina	0:1
15.09.18	Lida - Belshina	0:0
20.05.18	Belshina - Lida	1:0

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