The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Lida 65.9%
Draw 21.4%
Orsha 12.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
69.4%
20.3%
12.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
The chances for Lida have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
The chances for Orsha have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lida than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orsha than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
Lida - Orsha Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
25. Gremza E. (G) 18. Askerov R. 4. Bulychev A. 21. Burnos A. 8. Galushko A. 13. Karpovich E. 14. Khodyko D. 11. Kutsepalov D. 3. Lazarev A. (C) 7. Radzhabov A. 20. Torgashov N.
20. Makarov M. (G) 6. Adamchik T. 70. Berezun I. 21. Bobchenok N. 30. Chakur A. 4. Irshev S. 5. Laval A. 10. Rassolko P. (C) 7. Salimov T. 11. Tamelo D. 91. Veras I.
Substitutes
15. Belov G. 16. Gremza I. (G) 9. Guzarevich S. 22. Manaev V. 10. Shepet N. 6. Sosnovskiy A. 17. Vasilkevich M. 1. Vasilyev A. (G) 5. Zaytsev E.
76. Adygezalzade R. 55. Bashun V. 2. Bazhanov M. 27. Bulakhov S. 17. Gomonov S. 88. Korenkov Z. 33. Kravchenko R. (G) 12. Nneji E. 80. Puninskiy V.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, Askerov R. ⚽, Khodyko D. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
59', Khodyko D. 🟨,
60', Salimov T. ↓, Bazhanov M. ↑,
60', Veras I. ↓, Puninskiy V. ↑,
61', Irshev S. 🟨,
75', Torgashov N. ↓, Shepet N. ↑,
75', Burnos A. ↓, Guzarevich S. ↑,
77', 2 - 0, Shepet N. ⚽,
82', Tamelo D. 🟨,
84', Puninskiy V. 🟨,
88', Askerov R. ↓, Vasilkevich M. ↑,
88', Khodyko D. ↓, Sosnovskiy A. ↑,
89', Kutsepalov D. ↓, Zaytsev E. ↑,
90+1', Sosnovskiy A. 🟨,
Preview
This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 7 and 15).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lida won 3.
Recent performances by Lida have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Orsha has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Lida may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Orsha has had a series of home games.
In this match, Lida is the obvious favorite.
In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Lida won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 21:23. (average 1.4:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Lida won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 1:8. (average 0.2:1.6).