Match Info

Pershaya Liga - Round 22

Date: 30 August 2025, Saturday

Location: Spartak Stadium (Bobruisk)


	Belshina		Ostrovets

	1	X	2
	1.67	3.86	4.16	Watch
	1.51	4.4	4.78
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↑ (1.51)	4.13 ↓ (4.4)	4.47 ↓ (4.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Belshina
57.4%

Draw
22.1%

Ostrovets
20.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.3%

20.7%

19%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.6%

19.9%

18.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Belshina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Ostrovets has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Belshina than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Belshina, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ostrovets than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Belshina - Ostrovets Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
54. Patsenko N. (G) 7. Achapovskiy A. 8. Balbukh V. 14. Drapeza V. 88. Dubovskiy P. 22. Kabachevskiy V. 78. Kovalevich V. 3. Kuchinskiy A. 4. Solanovich V. 18. Tkachenko V. 77. Zimin A.	14. Kovruk M. (G) 17. Azerskiy E. 8. Bakinovskiy A. 22. German D. 9. Khvostovich D. 4. Shashko E. 33. Sokolovskiy M. 27. Tolkachev I. 15. Turovets D. 23. Volovik Y. 20. Zhernosek G.
Substitutes
16. Bolotnikov K. 66. Bolotnikov V. 11. Chernodarov A. 35. Frolov I. (G) 99. Kulikov D. 5. Seleznev P. 44. Shestilovskiy S. 19. Sokolovskiy N. 17. Vikhrov I.	11. Bara Y. 2. Dylevskiy A. 21. Isachenko E. 12. Kachur N. 29. Kalinovskiy M. 44. Kondratovich Z. 18. Pilipenko M. 10. Semenov E. 19. Shedko E. 99. Yukhnovich V. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
5', 0 - 1, Azerskiy E. ⚽, Zhernosek G. (A),
32', Tolkachev I. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
49', German D. 🟨,
59', 0 - 2, Bara Y. ⚽,
90+1', Chernodarov A. 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 7 and 10).

Belshina is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Ostrovets has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Ostrovets may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Belshina is the team to beat.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Belshina won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Belshina Bobruisk
Belarusian Pershaya Liga
23.08.25	Volna Pinsk - Belshina	3:3 ✺
16.08.25	Belshina - Gomel 2	2:1 ✺
09.08.25	Baranovichi - Belshina	2:1 ✺
02.08.25	Belshina - Belarus U19	3:1 ✺
27.07.25	Belshina - Uni X Labs Minsk	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 TWLWW
- FC Ostrovets
Belarusian Pershaya Liga
24.08.25	Ostrovets - Slonim	3:0 ✺
15.08.25	Lokomotiv Gomel - Ostrovets	2:1 ✺
09.08.25	Ostrovets - Lida	1:3 ✺
03.08.25	Minsk 2 - Ostrovets	1:0 ✺
26.07.25	Ostrovets - Orsha	6:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Belarusian Pershaya Liga
12.10.24	Ostrovets - Belshina	2:2

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