Match Info

Pershaya Liga - Round 17

Date: 1 August 2026, Saturday

Location: City Stadium (Ostrovets)


	Ostrovets		Lida

	1	X	2
	3.55	3.55	1.85
	3.41	3.52	1.91
	3.85	3.90	1.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.6 ↓ (3.65)	3.66 ↑ (3.45)	1.81 ↓ (1.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 10.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ostrovets
25.1%

Draw
24.8%

Lida
50.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.8%

26.2%

48.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.1%

26.5%

48.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ostrovets has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Lida has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

The ML Model estimate for Ostrovets aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lida than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Frolov I. (G) 11. Boychenko M. 8. Davidovich A. 18. Davyskiba R. 25. Gonzhurov A. 17. Medvedev R. 19. Mikhey E. 14. Mokshin I. 4. Prudnik D. 97. Tsyk D. 7. Zaytsev I.	25. Gremza E. (G) 10. Chernodarov A. 18. Dyatlov Z. 13. Karpovich E. 6. Katsynel M. 3. Legchilin A. 20. Mazurich A. 11. Poluyanov A. 17. Puzach A. 27. Vashkevich D. 23. Zhestarev M.
Substitutes
82. Drozd V. (G) 9. Fedosenko A. 10. Goncharik K. 22. Kalinovskiy M. 2. Merkulov D. 81. Skripnik G. 88. Yakimovich N.	7. Belov G. 19. Chernyak K. 22. Gribovskiy R. 14. Khodyko D. 9. Kontsevoy I. 2. Poznyak A. 15. Salygo A. 16. Yanushko A. (G) 24. Zaytsev E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
18', 🟨,
28', 🟨,
37', 🟨,
44', 0 - 1, Poluyanov A. ⚽, Puzach A. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
50', 🟨,
54', 0 - 2, Chernodarov A. ⚽,
61', 1 - 2, Fedosenko A. ⚽,
68', 1 - 3, Vashkevich D. ⚽, Dyatlov Z. (A),
69', 🟨,
86', 🟨,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 15 and 5).

Ostrovets is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Lida's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Lida could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ostrovets won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:7. (average 1.4:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Ostrovets won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:3. (average 2:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Lida	27	17	3	7	51:43	8	54
10	Ostrovets	27	8	11	8	37:39	-2	35

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Ostrovets
Belarusian Pershaya Liga
25.07.26	Niva Dolbizno - Ostrovets	2:0 ✺
Belarusian Cup
18.07.26	Ostrovets - Vitebsk	2:3 ET ✺
Belarusian Pershaya Liga
10.07.26	Ostrovets - SKA-1938	1:1 ✺
04.07.26	Slutsk - Ostrovets	1:1 ✺
28.06.26	Ostrovets - Dinamo Minsk 2	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19 LLTTT
- FC Lida
Belarusian Pershaya Liga
26.07.26	Lida - Slonim	1:3 ✺
Belarusian Cup
18.07.26	Lida - Torpedo-BelAZ	0:4 ✺
Belarusian Pershaya Liga
11.07.26	BATE 2 - Lida	1:4 ✺
05.07.26	Lida - Uni X Labs Minsk	0:0 ✺
27.06.26	Molodechno - Lida	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Belarusian Pershaya Liga
09.08.25	Ostrovets - Lida	1:3
07.09.24	Lida - Ostrovets	0:1
12.11.23	Lida - Ostrovets	4:0
09.07.23	Ostrovets - Lida	1:0
22.05.22	Ostrovets - Lida	4:0

Ostrovets - Lida: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide