Match Info

Pershaya Liga - Round 19

Date: 10 August 2026, Monday

Location: Stadium FC Minsk (Minsk)


	Minsk 2		Ostrovets

	1	X	2
	2.10	3.80	2.65
	2.09	3.75	2.48
	2.11	3.65	2.80
	2.10	3.40	3.02
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↓ (2.13)	3.65 ↑ (3.37)	2.74 ↓ (2.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 10.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Minsk 2
42.7%

Draw
24.6%

Ostrovets
32.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42%

26.6%

31.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.1%

25.3%

30%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Minsk 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Ostrovets has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Minsk 2 than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ostrovets than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sukharenko M. (G) 9. Bondarenko I. 21. Kazakov A. 8. Matusevich S. 18. Morozov D. (C) 4. Sheremet P. 2. Sitnikov R. 12. Sviridenko I. 15. Vasilevskiy N. 6. Yatsyno Y. 5. Zholudov V.	1. Frolov I. (G) 8. Davidovich A. 18. Davyskiba R. 9. Fedosenko A. 10. Goncharik K. (C) 22. Kalinovskiy M. 21. Kilyimanov A. 17. Medvedev R. 19. Mikhey E. 14. Mokshin I. 7. Zaytsev I.
Substitutes
16. Akritidis M. (G) 17. Bulyga N. 13. Denisenko D. 20. Gancharenko A. 10. Gorkovsky D. 7. Khachaturian V. 14. Korotonozhkin V. 32. Malyutin V. 22. Porshnev I. 11. Sapego A.	11. Boychenko M. 82. Drozd V. (G) 15. Gonzhurov A. 2. Merkulov D. 4. Prudnik D. 81. Skripnik G. 13. Snetkov A. 97. Tsyk D. 88. Yakimovich N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
14', Vasilevskiy N. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
49', 🟨,
55', 🟨,
55', 0 - 1, Goncharik K. (Penalty Awarded),
60', 0 - 2, Mikhey E. ⚽, Goncharik K. (A),
63', 🟨,
67', 🟨,
78', 🟨,
84', 1 - 2, Matusevich S. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 11 and 14).

Minsk 2 is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Ostrovets has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, Ostrovets has had a series of home games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Minsk 2 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Including home match between the teams, Minsk 2 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Ostrovets	27	8	11	8	37:39	-2	35
13	Minsk 2	27	9	3	15	37:50	-13	30

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Minsk 2
Belarusian Pershaya Liga
06.08.26	Slonim - Minsk 2	2:3 ✺
02.08.26	BATE 2 - Minsk 2	0:1 ✺
26.07.26	Minsk 2 - Uni X Labs Minsk	2:1 ✺
11.07.26	Molodechno - Minsk 2	2:3 ✺
03.07.26	Minsk 2 - Gomel 2	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 WWWWL
- FC Ostrovets
Belarusian Pershaya Liga
05.08.26	Ostrovets - Osipovichi	2:0 ✺
01.08.26	Ostrovets - Lida	1:3 ✺
25.07.26	Niva Dolbizno - Ostrovets	2:0 ✺
Belarusian Cup
18.07.26	Ostrovets - Vitebsk	2:3 ET ✺
Belarusian Pershaya Liga
10.07.26	Ostrovets - SKA-1938	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Belarusian Pershaya Liga
03.08.25	Minsk 2 - Ostrovets	1:0

Minsk 2 - Ostrovets: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide