Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 8 - Round 18

Date: 18 January 2026, Sunday


	Bembibre		Almazán

	1	X	2
	2.92	2.92	2.32
	2.77	2.93	2.64	Watch
	2.9	2.8	2.38
	2.98	2.89	2.38
	2.9	3	2.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.89 ↑ (2.42)	2.91 ↓ (3.1)	2.42 ↓ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bembibre
31.3%

Draw
31.2%

Almazán
37.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.6%

29.3%

33.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.1%

29.7%

32.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bembibre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bembibre's form might have worsened.

Almazán has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bembibre than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bembibre, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Almazán than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

Bembibre - Almazán Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
28', 1 - 0, Exposito I. ⚽,
38', 1 - 1, Martinez D. ⚽,
43', 1 - 2, Bernardo Villanueva Latorre J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
64', 2 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 12 and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bembibre won 0.

Bembibre is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Almazán has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Almazán may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Bembibre won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 6:13. (average 0.7:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Bembibre won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 1:5. (average 0.2:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Bembibre	5	3	1	1	7:4	3	10
9	Almazan	5	1	4	0	8:7	1	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Bembibre
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
11.01.26	Bembibre - Atlético Palencia	1:4 ✺
04.01.26	Becerril - Bembibre	2:1 ✺
20.12.25	Bembibre - Arandina	1:1 ✺
14.12.25	Bembibre - Mirandés B	1:0 ✺
06.12.25	Santa Marta Tormes - Bembibre	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LLTWL
- SD Almazán
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
10.01.26	Santa Marta Tormes - Almazán	3:2 ✺
03.01.26	Almazán - La Virgen del Camino	0:0 ✺
14.12.25	Almazán - Atlético Tordesillas	1:1 ✺
06.12.25	Numancia B - Almazán	0:2 ✺
23.11.25	Almazán - Palencia CA	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 LTTWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
28.03.24	Bembibre - Almazán	0:1
14.10.23	Almazán - Bembibre	2:2
08.04.23	Almazán - Bembibre	3:1
11.12.22	Bembibre - Almazán	0:2
13.03.22	Almazán - Bembibre	2:1
30.10.21	Bembibre - Almazán	1:1
01.03.20	Bembibre - Almazán	0:1

Bembibre - Almazán: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide