Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 8 - Round 16

Date: 4 January 2026, Sunday


	Becerril		Bembibre

	1	X	2
	2.05	3	3.4
	2.06	3.13	3.53
	2	2.9	3.7
	2.09	2.97	3.5
	1.9	3.2	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↓ (2.05)	3.04 ↑ (3)	3.59 ↑ (3.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Becerril
44.9%

Draw
29.8%

Bembibre
25.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.7%

29.9%

26.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.2%

29.6%

26.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Becerril has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Bembibre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Becerril than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bembibre than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Becerril - Bembibre Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
26', 1 - 0, Martin D. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
49', 2 - 0, Martin D. ⚽,
63', 2 - 1, Gomez A. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Becerril won 2.

Becerril has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Bembibre is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Becerril might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Becerril won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:12. (average 1.1:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Becerril won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:1. (average 0.3:0.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Bembibre	5	3	1	1	7:4	3	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Becerril
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
20.12.25	Santa Marta Tormes - Becerril	5:0 ✺
14.12.25	Becerril - La Virgen del Camino	1:2 ✺
06.12.25	Atlético Mansillés - Becerril	2:2 ✺
23.11.25	Becerril - Atlético Tordesillas	2:3 ✺
15.11.25	Numancia B - Becerril	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LLTLL
- CA Bembibre
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
20.12.25	Bembibre - Arandina	1:1 ✺
14.12.25	Bembibre - Mirandés B	1:0 ✺
06.12.25	Santa Marta Tormes - Bembibre	2:0 ✺
23.11.25	Bembibre - La Virgen del Camino	1:2 ✺
15.11.25	Atlético Mansillés - Bembibre	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 TWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
11.05.25	Becerril - Bembibre	1:0
12.01.25	Bembibre - Becerril	2:1
21.01.24	Bembibre - Becerril	0:1
05.02.23	Bembibre - Becerril	7:3
02.10.22	Becerril - Bembibre	0:1
08.12.20	Becerril - Bembibre	0:0
03.11.19	Bembibre - Becerril	2:2

Becerril - Bembibre: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide