Match Info

Date: 12 October 2026, Monday


	Benfica B		Felgueiras

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.3	3.1
	2.12	3.2	3.25
	2.15	3.3	3.46
	2.14	3.32	3.32	Watch
	2.1	3.15	3.35
	2.13	3.24	3.33
	2.11	3.2	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↓ (2.14)	3.24 ↑ (3.22)	3.29 ↓ (3.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Benfica B
43.5%

Draw
28.4%

Felgueiras
28.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.7%

29%

27.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.1%

28.7%

27.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Benfica B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Felgueiras has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Benfica B than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Felgueiras than the current prediction. (-1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

Benfica B - Felgueiras Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

An upper-table contender faces a competitive test against mid-table opposition (ranked 6th and 13th).

Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.

Benfica B is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Benfica B has recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 10:7 (averaging 2.5:1.8 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Benfica B against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 6:2 goals (averaging 3:1 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Benfica B	6	3	1	2	7:5	2	10
13	Felgueiras	6	1	3	2	5:6	-1	6

Last Results with these Odds

Benfica B - the odds 2.14 are the expected chance of winning is 43.66%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Benfica B
Portuguese Liga 2
11.09.26	Académica Coimbra - Benfica B	0:3 ✺
05.09.26	Benfica B - Torreense	0:2 ✺
30.08.26	Amarante - Benfica B	1:0 ✺
21.08.26	Benfica B - Portimonense	1:1 ✺
15.08.26	Leiria - Benfica B	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 WLLTW
- FC Felgueiras
Taça de Portugal
19.09.26	Naval - Felgueiras	0:2 ✺
Portuguese Liga 2
12.09.26	Felgueiras - Penafiel	1:2 ✺
06.09.26	Vizela - Felgueiras	1:0 ✺
30.08.26	Felgueiras - Chaves	2:1 ✺
24.08.26	Farense - Felgueiras	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
14.02.26	Benfica B - Felgueiras	4:2
13.09.25	Felgueiras - Benfica B	2:1
04.05.25	Felgueiras - Benfica B	3:3
22.12.24	Benfica B - Felgueiras	2:0

Benfica B - Felgueiras: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide