Match Info

Liga Portugal 2 - Round 6

Date: 12 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadion Dr. Machado de Matos (Felgueiras)

Referee: Jesus F. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV+


	Felgueiras		Penafiel

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.00	3.10
	2.20	3.00	2.95
	2.28	2.95	3.15
	2.43	3.15	3.34
	2.32	3.1	3.22	Watch
	2.40	3.00	3.20
	2.26	3.14	3.25	Watch
	2.25	3.00	3.10
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.29 ↓ (2.32)	3.04 ↑ (3.02)	3.16 ↑ (3.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Felgueiras
40.4%

Draw
30.4%

Penafiel
29.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.9%

30.6%

29.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Felgueiras has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Penafiel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	66.7%	33.3%

Felgueiras - Penafiel Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Penafiel will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
14. Mateus Pasinato (G) 17. Cruz F. 4. Dudu Cruz 3. Pinto J. 23. Freitas A. 10. Michel Costa 6. Martins H. 8. Landinho (C) 80. Ventura 7. Rivas M. 9. Leite T.	1. Oliveira Miguel (C) 5. Sanchez J. 6. Pica A. 2. lano Imbene 27. Negrao G. 10. Davo 50. Varela F. 75. Alloh T. 17. Pinto J. 9. Svensson M. 11. Fuentes J.
Substitutes
5. Afonso Peixoto 16. Beni Jetour 31. Esteves E. (G) 25. Felipe Scheibig (G) 77. Franca F. 88. Gustavo Mendes 45. Haidara B. 19. Lucas Duarte 70. Ouacharaf B. 20. Ribeiro R. 87. Samuel	85. Augusto C. 7. Douglas Borel 99. Mendes C. 14. Mere J. 4. Miguel J. 18. Nifanso K. 29. Nuninho 23. Oliveira D. 38. Oliveira M. 13. Puerto E. (G) 33. Schutte R. 79. Teixeira T.
Coaches
Moreno T.	Aira J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
27', 0 - 1, Fuentes J. ⚽,
45+1', Cruz F. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Cruz F. ↓, Ouacharaf B. ↑,
46', Ventura ↓, Samuel ↑,
53', Alloh T. ↓, Douglas Borel ↑,
62', 1 - 1, Samuel ⚽,
63', Michel Costa ↓, Lucas Duarte ↑,
63', Fuentes J. ↓, Oliveira M. ↑,
63', Varela F. ↓, Miguel J. ↑,
77', Freitas A. ↓, Afonso Peixoto ↑,
79', Landinho 🟨,
81', lano Imbene ↓, Schutte R. ↑,
81', Svensson M. ↓, Mendes C. ↑,
81', Sanchez J. 🟨,
83', 1 - 2, Mendes C. ⚽,
86', Landinho ↓, Ribeiro R. ↑,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 11 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Portugal (Promotion: )).

Felgueiras has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Penafiel is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Felgueiras is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Felgueiras won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 0.5:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Felgueiras won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0. (average 0.5:0).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Penafiel	6	4	1	1	13:5	8	13
13	Felgueiras	6	1	3	2	5:6	-1	6

Last Results with these Odds

Penafiel - the odds 3.13 are the expected chance of winning is 29.51%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Felgueiras
Portuguese Liga 2
06.09.26	Vizela - Felgueiras	1:0 ✺
30.08.26	Felgueiras - Chaves	2:1 ✺
24.08.26	Farense - Felgueiras	1:1 ✺
17.08.26	Felgueiras - AVS	1:1 ✺
09.08.26	Feirense - Felgueiras	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 LWTTT
- FC Penafiel
Portuguese Liga 2
05.09.26	Penafiel - Académica Coimbra	4:1 ✺
30.08.26	Porto B - Penafiel	0:3 ✺
23.08.26	Penafiel - Sporting Lisbon B	2:0 ✺
15.08.26	Torreense - Penafiel	2:2 ✺
08.08.26	Penafiel - Portimonense	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.8 WWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
22.02.26	Felgueiras - Penafiel	0:0
27.09.25	Penafiel - Felgueiras	2:0
05.04.25	Felgueiras - Penafiel	1:0
09.11.24	Penafiel - Felgueiras	2:1

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