Match Info

PORTUGAL: Liga Portugal 2 - Round 4

Date: 31 August 2024, Saturday

Location: Estádio João Cardoso (Tondela)

Referee: Fonseca M. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV+


	Tondela		Felgueiras

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.1	2.63
	2.35	3.1	2.65
	2.5	3.2	2.8
	2.58	3.34	2.85
	2.55	3.2	2.78	Watch
	2.38	3.2	2.62
	2.51	3.22	2.77	Watch
	2.5	3.2	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.48 ↑ (1.96)	3.2 ↓ (3.25)	2.74 ↓ (3.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tondela
37.3%

Draw
28.9%

Felgueiras
33.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.3%

27.9%

25.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.4%

29.1%

24.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tondela has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tondela's form might have worsened.

Felgueiras has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Felgueiras's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tondela than the current prediction. (+11.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tondela, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Felgueiras than the current prediction. (-9.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Felgueiras, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.8%	5.9%	82.4%

Tondela - Felgueiras Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Tondela will win (votes: 2 - 11.8%). Felgueiras will win (votes: 14 - 82.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 5.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Felgueiras: 64.3% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Bernardo (G) 5. Afonso J. 34. Alves R. (C) 18. Talocha 48. Manso T. 6. Ceitil A. 8. Tavares H. 60. Maviram E. 7. Xavier 17. Roberto 21. Maranhao	24. Pinto B. (G) 61. Eiro 34. Silva A. 23. Ribeiro Sousa Peixoto R. P. (C) 29. Banguera E. 8. Landinho 6. Moreira V. 18. Pereira G. 30. Feliz 95. Fonseca T. 19. Santos Teixeira L.
Substitutes
2. Bebeto 23. Cascavel 97. Cicero 26. Cunha N. 20. Fuller T. 9. Miro 4. Pola J. 30. Ramos R. 1. Souza G. (G)	17. Arthur J. 26. Berna 3. Bonilla J. 7. Bruninho 13. Figueiredo C. (G) 5. Rosas P. 90. Santos J. 42. Tavares A. 21. Veiga D.
Coaches
Pinto L.	Bento A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
34', Roberto 🟨,
39', Ribeiro Sousa Peixoto R. P. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Ceitil A. ↓, Cicero ↑,
46', Ribeiro Sousa Peixoto R. P. ↓, Bonilla J. ↑,
46', Feliz ↓, Santos J. ↑,
54', 0 - 1, Santos J. ⚽, Banguera E. (A),
60', Maviram E. ↓, Bebeto ↑,
60', Talocha ↓, Cascavel ↑,
64', 1 - 1, Roberto (Pen),
65', Manso T. 🟨,
69', Manso T. ↓, Fuller T. ↑,
76', Pereira G. ↓, Veiga D. ↑,
76', Landinho ↓, Tavares A. ↑,
78', Tavares H. ↓, Cunha N. ↑,
83', Fonseca T. ↓, Arthur J. ↑,
90+1', Fuller T. 🟨,

Preview

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Recently Tondela have a series of guest games.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Tondela won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Tondela
Portuguese Liga 2
25.08.24	Penafiel - Tondela	2:2 ✺
19.08.24	Tondela - Porto B	2:2 ✺
10.08.24	Marítimo - Tondela	2:2 ✺
Club Friendly
02.08.24	Leiria - Tondela	2:1 ✺
01.08.24	Boavista - Tondela	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.2 TTTLW
- FC Felgueiras
Portuguese Liga 2
24.08.24	Felgueiras - Feirense	0:0 ✺
17.08.24	Alverca - Felgueiras	1:1 ✺
12.08.24	Felgueiras - Portimonense	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
24.07.24	Paços de Ferreira - Felgueiras	4:4 ✺
20.07.24	Felgueiras - Chaves	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17 TTTTW

Latest Head to Head

Taça de Portugal
22.11.20	Felgueiras - Tondela	0:1

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