Match Info

Liga Revelacao U23 - Round 13

Date: 13 November 2025, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Canal 11


	Benfica U23		Leiria U23

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.8	4.25
	1.65	4.2	4.51
	1.34	5.04	7.46	Watch
	1.69	4.08	4.29	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↑ (1.34)	4.28 ↓ (5.04)	5.13 ↓ (7.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Benfica U23
59.7%

Draw
22%

Leiria U23
18.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.2%

18.4%

12.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.5%

17.6%

11.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Benfica U23 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Benfica U23's form might have worsened.

Leiria U23 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Leiria U23's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Benfica U23 than the current prediction. (+12.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Benfica U23, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leiria U23 than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Leiria U23, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Benfica U23 - Leiria U23 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
88', 1 - 0, ⚽,
90+5', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Revelacao U23 (Championship Group: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Revelacao U23 (Championship Group: )).

Benfica U23 is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Leiria U23 has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Benfica U23 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Benfica U23 has had a series of away games.

In this match, Benfica U23 is the clear favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Benfica U23 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Benfica U23
Portuguese Liga Next Gen U23
25.10.25	Estoril U23 - Benfica U23	1:1 ✺
18.10.25	Benfica U23 - Santa Clara U23	2:0 ✺
13.10.25	Farense U23 - Benfica U23	2:1 ✺
05.10.25	Sporting Lisbon U23 - Benfica U23	0:1 ✺
24.09.25	Portimonense U23 - Benfica U23	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 TWLWW
- Leiria U23
Portuguese Liga Next Gen U23
08.11.25	Leiria U23 - Portimonense U23	1:3 ✺
25.10.25	Sporting Lisbon U23 - Leiria U23	1:1 ✺
20.10.25	Leiria U23 - Torreense U23	1:3 ✺
11.10.25	Estrela da Amadora U23 - Leiria U23	1:1 ✺
30.09.25	Farense U23 - Leiria U23	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 LTLTW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga Next Gen U23
26.08.25	Leiria U23 - Benfica U23	2:4

Benfica U23 - Leiria U23: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide