Match Info

Africa Cup of Nations - Round 3

Date: 30 December 2025, Tuesday

Location: Stade Ibn Batouta (Tanger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	AfroSport TV Africa, CANAL+ CAN, DStv Now, New World Sport 4, New World Sport App, SuperSport Football Plus, SuperSport Maximo 360, SuperSport PSL
Andorra	beIN Sports 1
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA Max 1, beIN Sports MENA Max 1, beIN Sports MENA Max 1, beIN Sports MENA Max 3, beIN Sports MENA Max 3, beIN Sports MENA Max 3, beIN Sports MENA Max 4, beIN Sports MENA Max 4, beIN Sports MENA Max 4
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Benin	Benin TV
Brazil	Band Play, BandSports, Claro TV+, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports
Croatia	SportKlub 2
Finland	Veikkaus TV
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Free
Germany	Sportdigital FUSSBALL 2
Greece	ERT 2, ERT Sports 2
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 1, Now Player
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Vidio
Israel	5 PLUS Israel
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kenya	Gotv
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Nigeria	SuperSport Football Plus
Norway	VG+
Philippines	beIN Connect
Portugal	Sport TV2
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Sport 8
Singapore	beIN Sport 1
Slovenia	SportKlub 3
South-africa	SABC 2, SABC Plus, SuperSport PSL
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones
Thailand	beIN Connect
Turkey	Exxen
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 1
United-kingdom	4Seven, Channel 4
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, Fanatiz


	Benin		Senegal

	1	X	2
	11	5.25	1.29	Watch
	13	5.55	1.25	Watch
	13.23	5.4	1.27	Watch
	12	5	1.25
	14.3	5.78	1.29	Watch
	11	5	1.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	12.42 ↑ (12)	5.33 ↓ (5.6)	1.28 ↑ (1.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Benin
7.6%

Draw
17.8%

Senegal
74.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

7.8%

16.7%

75.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Benin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Senegal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	13%	87%

Benin - Senegal Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Benin (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Senegal (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.75 - Benin (1.68) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Senegal will win (20 of 23 users predict this - 86.96%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.2% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Benin (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Senegal (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Dandjinou M. (G) Loto 3. Ouorou T. Hatta 6. Verdon O. Ludogorets 13. Tijani M. Yverdon 5. Roche Y. Petrolul 19. Dodo D. Leixoes 4. Samadou A. Smouha 8. Imourane H. Grasshoppers 10. Tosin A. Lorient 9. Mounie S. (C) Alanyaspor 18. Olaitan J. Goztepe	16. Mendy E. (G) Al Ahli SC 15. Diatta K. Monaco 4. Seck A. Maccabi Haifa 3. Koulibaly K. (C) Al Hilal 25. Diouf M. West Ham 17. Sarr P. M. Tottenham 5. Gueye I. Everton 8. Camara L. Monaco 13. Ndiaye I. Everton 20. Diallo H. Metz 10. Mane S. Al Nassr
Substitutes
7. Ahlinvi M. Arsenal Tula 14. Ahouangbo M. O. Ljubljana 27. Ahoudo G. AS Gabes 16. Allagbe S. (G) Chauray 17. Aloko R. Kustosija 22. Amoussou R. ASEC Mimosas 26. Azongnitode C. AC Oulu 20. Dossou J. 2. Fassinou R. Coton FC 12. Kiki D. FCSB 21. Kossi R. Hassania Agadir 11. Moumini A. SumQayit FK 23. Obassa A. (G) Remo Stars 24. Rachidou R. 25. Tessilimi O. SJK	28. Camara M. Berkane 6. Ciss P. Rayo Vallecano 9. Dia B. Lazio 7. Diarra H. Sunderland 23. Diaw M. (G) Le Havre 1. Diouf Y. (G) Nice 26. Gueye P. Villarreal 11. Jackson N. Bayern Munich 14. Jakobs I. Galatasaray 27. Mbaye I. PSG 24. Mendy A. Nice 12. Ndiaye C. Samsunspor 21. Sabaly C. Metz 18. Sarr I. Crystal Palace 2. Sarr M. Strasbourg
Coaches
Rohr G.	Thiaw P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
20', Dodo D. 🟨,
24', Tosin A. 🟨,
32', Camara L. 🟨,
38', 0 - 1, Seck A. ⚽, Diatta K. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Dodo D. ↓, Aloko R. ↑,
46', Camara L. ↓, Diarra H. ↑,
46', Ndiaye I. ↓, Mbaye I. ↑,
62', 0 - 2, Diallo H. ⚽, Mane S. (A),
71', Koulibaly K. 🟥,
76', Diallo H. ↓, Sarr M. ↑,
81', Sarr P. M. ↓, Ciss P. ↑,
82', Mounie S. 🟨,
85', Ouorou T. ↓, Moumini A. ↑,
85', Olaitan J. ↓, Amoussou R. ↑,
85', Tosin A. ↓, Ahoudo G. ↑,
88', Mane S. ↓, Ndiaye C. ↑,
90+4', Moumini A. 🟨,
90+7', 0 - 3, Ndiaye C. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Benin won 0.

In this match, Senegal is the undisputed favorite.

There will not play in Senegal: Camara I. (Muscle Injury) Diao A. (Thigh Injury)

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Benin won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 2:11. (average 0.3:1.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Benin
Africa Cup of Nations
27.12.25	Benin - Botswana	1:0 ✺
23.12.25	D.R. Congo - Benin	1:0 ✺
Friendly
18.11.25	Burkina Faso - Benin	3:0 ✺
FIFA World Cup
14.10.25	Nigeria - Benin	4:0 ✺
10.10.25	Rwanda - Benin	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WLLLW
- Senegal
Africa Cup of Nations
27.12.25	Senegal - D.R. Congo	1:1 ✺
23.12.25	Senegal - Botswana	3:0 ✺
Friendly
15.11.25	Brazil - Senegal	2:0 ✺
FIFA World Cup
14.10.25	Senegal - Mauritania	4:0 ✺
10.10.25	South Sudan - Senegal	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 TWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Friendly
26.03.24	Senegal - Benin	1:0
Africa Cup of Nations
17.06.23	Benin - Senegal	1:1
04.06.22	Senegal - Benin	3:1
WAFU Cup of Nations
03.10.19	Senegal - Benin	1:0
Africa Cup of Nations
10.07.19	Senegal - Benin	1:0
WAFU Cup of Nations
17.09.17	Senegal - Benin	4:0

Benin - Senegal: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide