Match Info

Copa Paraguay - 1/16-finals

Date: 18 August 2026, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Arsenio Erico (Asunción)

Where to Watch on TV:


Paraguay	Tigo Sports+


	Benjamín Aceval		Nacional Asuncion

	1	X	2
	4.20	3.30	1.72
	4.10	3.25	1.75	Watch
	4.41	3.45	1.80
	4.47	3.54	1.72	Watch
	4.35	3.35	1.66
	4.63	3.54	1.66	Watch
	4.10	3.30	1.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.32 ↓ (4.47)	3.39 ↓ (3.65)	1.72 ↑ (1.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Benjamín Aceval
20.9%

Draw
26.7%

Nacional Asuncion
52.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.6%

25.2%

54.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.1%

24.6%

55.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Benjamín Aceval has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Nacional Asuncion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Benjamín Aceval than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nacional Asuncion than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Benjamín Aceval - Nacional Asuncion Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
5', 0 - 1, Bailone I. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
65', 0 - 2, Bailone I. ⚽,

Preview

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Benjamín Aceval may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Nacional is seen as the favorite.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Club Doctor Benjamín Aceval
Paraguayan Division Intermedia
14.08.26	Fernando de la Mora - Benjamín Aceval	2:1 ✺
31.07.26	General Caballero JLM - Benjamín Aceval	2:0 ✺
27.07.26	Benjamín Aceval - Guaireña	1:1 ✺
18.07.26	Benjamín Aceval - Resistencia	2:0 ✺
12.07.26	Sol de América - Benjamín Aceval	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LLTWT
- Nacional Asuncion
Paraguayan Primera Division
15.08.26	Sportivo Trinidense - Nacional Asuncion	1:1 ✺
09.08.26	Nacional Asuncion - Guaraní Asuncion	0:0 ✺
03.08.26	Deportivo Recoleta - Nacional Asuncion	3:2 ✺
29.07.26	Nacional Asuncion - Olimpia Asuncion	2:0 ✺
25.07.26	Sportivo Ameliano - Nacional Asuncion	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 TTLWT

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