The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Nacional Asuncion 52.1%
Draw 25.9%
Deportivo Recoleta 22.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
57.5%
24.5%
18%
Our Initial ML Estimation
59.4%
23.7%
17.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nacional Asuncion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nacional Asuncion's form might have worsened.
Deportivo Recoleta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nacional Asuncion than the current prediction. (+7.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nacional Asuncion, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Recoleta than the current prediction. (-4.7%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
0%
Nacional Asuncion - Deportivo Recoleta Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Preview
A mid-table side takes on an opponent fighting to pull away from the danger zone (ranked 5th and 11th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nacional won 1.
In recent outings, Nacional has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Recoleta has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Nacional carries the favorite tag into this contest.
In the last 8 head-to-head meetings, Nacional has recorded 2 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 9:10 (averaging 1.1:1.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Nacional against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 5:4 goals (averaging 1.3:1 per game).
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