Match Info

Copa de Primera - Clausura - Round 1

Date: 25 July 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Martín Torres (Asunción)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Sportivo Ameliano		Nacional Asuncion

	1	X	2
	2.90	3.00	2.30	Watch
	2.87	2.90	2.30
	2.80	3.05	2.55	Watch
	3.34	3.05	2.58
	2.99	3	2.48	Watch
	3.30	2.70	2.55
	3.02	3.12	2.39	Watch
	2.95	2.95	2.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.02 ↑ (2.45)	2.97 ↑ (2.9)	2.44 ↓ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sportivo Ameliano
30.7%

Draw
31.2%

Nacional Asuncion
38%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.6%

30.9%

32.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sportivo Ameliano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sportivo Ameliano's form might have worsened.

Nacional Asuncion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Nacional Asuncion's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	66.7%	33.3%

Sportivo Ameliano - Nacional Asuncion Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Nacional will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
35. Sanchez A. (G) 21. Franco F. 26. Gonzalez J. (C) 22. Falabella A. 34. Benitez M. 24. Ayala L. 15. Rodriguez W. 20. Larralde V. 18. Ortiz L. 17. Torales R. 30. Cabral R.	30. Rojas S. (G) 21. Feliu J. 26. Coronel M. 5. Benitez G. 29. Vargas S. 8. Jara F. 25. Ramirez Antunez R. C. 33. Gaona Lugo O. (C) 10. Colman Escobar D. J. 27. Prieto R. 9. Benitez H. A.
Substitutes
3. Baez F. 5. Benitez H. 6. Benitez J. 25. Bruno L. 32. Camargo G. M. 40. Contrera A. 16. Favero C. 23. Martinez M. (G) 8. Moreira E. 9. Ocampos C. 14. Paez E. 19. Paredes A. 7. Vera F.	20. Arguello R. 31. Cabrera M. 15. Cardozo Lucena A. 23. Espinola C. 19. Gonzales L. 2. Melgarejo R. 13. Meza L. 1. Ortiz G. (G) 36. Pelozo F. 17. Santacruz Rodas J. F. 18. Valdez I. 38. Vega T.
Coaches
Nanni R.	Bernay V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
24', Gaona Lugo O. 🟨,
40', Rodriguez W. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
54', 1 - 0, Torales R. ⚽, Franco F. (A),
58', 1 - 1, Benitez H. A. ⚽, Gaona Lugo O. (A),
64', Ortiz L. ↓, Favero C. ↑,
64', Rodriguez W. ↓, Moreira E. ↑,
66', Prieto R. ↓, Meza L. ↑,
66', Gaona Lugo O. ↓, Valdez I. ↑,
72', Benitez H. A. ↓, Gonzales L. ↑,
72', Larralde V. ↓, Camargo G. M. ↑,
72', Ayala L. ↓, Vera F. ↑,
79', Benitez M. ↓, Paredes A. ↑,
83', Ramirez Antunez R. C. ↓, Cardozo Lucena A. ↑,
84', Colman Escobar D. J. ↓, Pelozo F. ↑,
84', Favero C. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sportivo Ameliano won 2.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Sportivo Ameliano won 8 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 22:16. (average 1.2:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Sportivo Ameliano won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:6. (average 1.4:0.7).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Nacional Asuncion	13	6	5	2	20:8	12	23
7	Ameliano	13	4	6	3	15:15	0	18

Last Results with these Odds

Sportivo Ameliano - the odds 2.45 are the expected chance of winning is 36.55%, but this team recently wins 30% of matches with these odds.

Nacional Asuncion - the odds 2.75 are the expected chance of winning is 32.57%, but this team recently wins 18% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sportivo Ameliano
Paraguayan Primera Division
24.05.26	Sportivo Ameliano - Sportivo Trinidense	1:2 ✺
16.05.26	Guaraní Asuncion - Sportivo Ameliano	1:0 ✺
11.05.26	Sportivo Ameliano - Deportivo Recoleta	3:2 ✺
03.05.26	Olimpia Asuncion - Sportivo Ameliano	1:1 ✺
24.04.26	Cerro Porteño - Sportivo Ameliano	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 LLWTT
- Nacional Asuncion
Paraguayan Primera Division
24.05.26	Nacional Asuncion - Libertad Asuncion	2:1 ✺
15.05.26	Rubio Ñu - Nacional Asuncion	1:1 ✺
09.05.26	Nacional Asuncion - Sportivo Trinidense	2:1 ✺
03.05.26	Guaraní Asuncion - Nacional Asuncion	0:1 ✺
24.04.26	Nacional Asuncion - Deportivo Recoleta	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Paraguayan Primera Division
20.04.26	Sportivo Ameliano - Nacional Asuncion	1:1
19.02.26	Nacional Asuncion - Sportivo Ameliano	1:1
20.11.25	Nacional Asuncion - Sportivo Ameliano	2:0
29.08.25	Sportivo Ameliano - Nacional Asuncion	3:0
04.05.25	Nacional Asuncion - Sportivo Ameliano	0:1
22.02.25	Sportivo Ameliano - Nacional Asuncion	2:1
06.10.24	Sportivo Ameliano - Nacional Asuncion	1:0

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