Match Info

Primera C - Round 24

Date: 29 August 2025, Friday

Location: Norman Lee stadium (Berazategui)


	Berazategui		El Porvenir

	1	X	2
	1.47	3.7	6.3
	1.48	3.66	6.21
	1.47	4.00	6.33	Watch
	1.45	3.65	7.41
	1.62	3.6	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↓ (1.59)	3.72 ↑ (3.54)	6.25 ↑ (5.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Berazategui
60.9%

Draw
24.5%

El Porvenir
14.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57%

25.5%

17.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.5%

24%

16.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Berazategui has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

El Porvenir has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Berazategui than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for El Porvenir than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Berazategui - El Porvenir Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera C (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Berazategui won 5.

Berazategui is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

El Porvenir has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Berazategui is a strong favorite.

We predict that Berazategui will win today's game, with odds of 1.59.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Berazategui won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:14. (average 1:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Berazategui won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:7. (average 1.1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Berazategui
Argentinian Primera C
24.08.25	Defensores de Cambaceres - Berazategui	0:1 ✺
16.08.25	Berazategui - Leandro N. Alem	5:1 ✺
08.08.25	Mercedes - Berazategui	1:3 ✺
04.08.25	Berazategui - Central Córdoba de Rosario	1:1 ✺
27.07.25	Puerto Nuevo - Berazategui	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WWWTW
- Club El Porvenir
Argentinian Primera C
24.08.25	El Porvenir - Ituzaingó	1:1 ✺
18.08.25	Deportivo Español - El Porvenir	0:2 ✺
10.08.25	El Porvenir - Atlético Claypole	0:0 ✺
05.08.25	Deportivo Muñiz - El Porvenir	2:2 ✺
27.07.25	El Porvenir - Justo José de Urquiza	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.8 TWTTT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera C
20.05.25	El Porvenir - Berazategui	0:1
04.08.24	Berazategui - El Porvenir	2:1
03.03.24	El Porvenir - Berazategui	1:2
30.07.22	El Porvenir - Berazategui	1:3
27.03.22	Berazategui - El Porvenir	1:0
29.08.21	El Porvenir - Berazategui	0:1
14.04.21	Berazategui - El Porvenir	3:1

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