Match Info

Primera C - Round 26

Date: 29 August 2026, Saturday


	El Porvenir		Atlético Claypole

	1	X	2
	2.45	2.62	2.95
	2.51	2.56	3.09
	2.54	2.63	3.13	Watch
	2.4	2.55	3.05
	2.58	2.78	3.1
	2.48	2.65	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.49 ↑ (2.33)	2.63 ↓ (2.85)	3.05 ↑ (2.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

El Porvenir
36.1%

Draw
34.2%

Atlético Claypole
29.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.4%

31.4%

30.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.6%

29.1%

32.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

El Porvenir has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Atlético Claypole has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for El Porvenir than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Claypole than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

El Porvenir - Atlético Claypole Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
2', 1 - 0, Rodriguez H. ⚽,
18', 2 - 0, Arrieta J. ⚽,
29', 2 - 1, Paiva A. ⚽,
38', 🟨,
41', 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
47', 🟨,
48', 🟨,
55', 🟨,
70', 🟨,
70', 3 - 1, Alvarenga M. ⚽,
77', 3 - 2, Llodra L. ⚽,
90', 4 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 10 and 13).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, El Porvenir won 1.

El Porvenir has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Atlético Claypole's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, Atlético Claypole has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, El Porvenir won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 6:14. (average 0.7:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, El Porvenir won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:3. (average 0:0.8).

Last Results with these Odds

El Porvenir - the odds 2.33 are the expected chance of winning is 38.35%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Club El Porvenir
Argentinian Primera C
23.08.26	El Porvenir - Central Ballester	0:0 ✺
16.08.26	Justo José de Urquiza - El Porvenir	0:1 ✺
08.08.26	El Porvenir - Deportivo Yupanqui	0:3 ✺
04.08.26	El Porvenir - Fénix	0:0 ✺
28.07.26	Sportivo Barracas - El Porvenir	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 TWLTL
- Atlético Claypole
Argentinian Primera C
24.08.26	Atlético Claypole - Fénix	0:0 ✺
18.08.26	Atlético Claypole - Mercedes	1:0 ✺
10.08.26	Sportivo Barracas - Atlético Claypole	2:0 ✺
04.08.26	Atlético Claypole - Juventud Unida de San Miguel	0:2 ✺
31.07.26	Atlético Claypole - Club Luján	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 TWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera C
03.05.26	Atlético Claypole - El Porvenir	1:2
10.08.25	El Porvenir - Atlético Claypole	0:0
26.04.25	Atlético Claypole - El Porvenir	4:2
13.10.24	El Porvenir - Atlético Claypole	0:0
10.05.24	Atlético Claypole - El Porvenir	4:1
18.06.22	El Porvenir - Atlético Claypole	0:2
12.02.22	Atlético Claypole - El Porvenir	2:0

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