Match Info

ARGENTINA: PRIMERA C - ROUND 23

Date: 26 June 2023, Monday


	Berazategui		Excursionistas

	1	X	2
	3.1	2.85	2.25
	3.1	2.9	2.3
	3.35	2.75	2.45
	3.1	2.75	2.35
	3.2	2.96	2.3	Watch
	3.15	2.9	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.17 ↓ (3.33)	2.85 ↓ (3.25)	2.33 ↑ (2.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Berazategui
28.8%

Draw
32%

Excursionistas
39.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.2%

27.9%

44.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.1%

27.8%

45.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Berazategui has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Excursionistas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Excursionistas might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Berazategui than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Excursionistas than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Excursionistas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	66.7%	16.7%

Berazategui - Excursionistas Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Berazategui will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Excursionistas will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 13 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera C (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Berazategui won 2.

Recent matches Berazategui is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Excursionistas in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Berazategui could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Excursionistas will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Berazategui won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 18-16.

Including matches at home between the teams Berazategui won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Berazategui
Argentinian Primera C
18.06.23	Deportivo Laferrere - Berazategui	0:1 ✺
12.06.23	Berazategui - Victoriano Arenas	1:0 ✺
05.06.23	Leandro N. Alem - Berazategui	2:2 ✺
29.05.23	Atlas General Rodríguez - Berazategui	1:1 ✺
21.05.23	Berazategui - Deportivo Yupanqui	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 WWTTL
- CA Excursionistas
Argentinian Primera C
16.06.23	Excursionistas - Club Luján	1:0 ✺
10.06.23	Real Pilar - Excursionistas	2:3 ✺
05.06.23	Excursionistas - Liniers	3:0 ✺
27.05.23	Excursionistas - Central Córdoba de Rosario	2:0 ✺
21.05.23	Justo José de Urquiza - Excursionistas	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera C
19.02.23	Excursionistas - Berazategui	0:3
14.09.22	Berazategui - Excursionistas	2:0
10.05.22	Excursionistas - Berazategui	5:0
26.09.21	Excursionistas - Berazategui	3:2
10.05.21	Berazategui - Excursionistas	0:1
02.11.19	Excursionistas - Berazategui	2:4
10.03.19	Berazategui - Excursionistas	2:2

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