Match Info

ARGENTINA: PRIMERA C - APERTURA - ROUND 16

Date: 6 May 2023, Saturday


	Berazategui		Ferrocarril Midland

	1	X	2
	2.5	2.8	2.7
	2.5	2.8	2.8
	2.6	2.89	2.88
	2.5	3.06	2.78
	2.55	2.85	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.53 ↓ (2.56)	2.88 ↑ (2.84)	2.79 ↑ (2.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Berazategui
35.9%

Draw
31.5%

Ferrocarril Midland
32.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.4%

31.9%

32.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.1%

31.3%

32.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Berazategui has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Ferrocarril Midland has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Berazategui than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferrocarril Midland than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Berazategui - Ferrocarril Midland Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 13 and 5).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Berazategui won 2.

Recent matches Berazategui is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Ferrocarril is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Berazategui could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Berazategui won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 10-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Berazategui won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Berazategui
Argentinian Primera C
02.05.23	Atlético Claypole - Berazategui	0:1 ✺
21.04.23	Berazategui - Deportivo Español	2:0 ✺
14.04.23	Sportivo Italiano - Berazategui	1:0 ✺
02.04.23	Berazategui - Club Luján	1:0 ✺
25.03.23	Real Pilar - Berazategui	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.6 WWLWL
- Ferrocarril Midland
Argentinian Primera C
30.04.23	Ferrocarril Midland - Club Luján	0:1 ✺
24.04.23	Real Pilar - Ferrocarril Midland	1:2 ✺
16.04.23	Ferrocarril Midland - Liniers	2:2 ✺
08.04.23	Central Córdoba de Rosario - Ferrocarril Midland	2:1 ✺
02.04.23	Ferrocarril Midland - Justo José de Urquiza	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera C
03.09.22	Berazategui - Ferrocarril Midland	2:1
02.05.22	Ferrocarril Midland - Berazategui	2:0
14.08.21	Berazategui - Ferrocarril Midland	1:0
28.03.21	Ferrocarril Midland - Berazategui	2:1
22.02.20	Ferrocarril Midland - Berazategui	3:1
02.09.19	Berazategui - Ferrocarril Midland	0:0
15.02.19	Berazategui - Ferrocarril Midland	1:1

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