Match Info

ARGENTINA: PRIMERA C - APERTURA - ROUND 11

Date: 2 April 2023, Sunday


	Ferrocarril Midland		Justo José de Urquiza

	1	X	2
	2.55	2.87	2.55
	2.4	2.85	2.9
	2.78	2.89	2.68
	2.68	2.91	2.71
	2.6	2.95	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.6 ↑ (1.99)	2.89 ↓ (3.1)	2.7 ↓ (3.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ferrocarril Midland
34.9%

Draw
31.4%

Justo José de Urquiza
33.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.8%

29.4%

24.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.1%

27.4%

23.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ferrocarril Midland has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ferrocarril Midland's form might have worsened.

Justo José de Urquiza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Justo José de Urquiza's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferrocarril Midland than the current prediction. (+14.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ferrocarril Midland, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Justo José de Urquiza than the current prediction. (-10.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Justo José de Urquiza, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Ferrocarril Midland - Justo José de Urquiza Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 2 and 6).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ferrocarril won 3.

Ferrocarril in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Justo José de Urquiza is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ferrocarril could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Ferrocarril won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Ferrocarril won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ferrocarril Midland
Argentinian Primera C
25.03.23	General Lamadrid - Ferrocarril Midland	2:2 ✺
19.03.23	Ferrocarril Midland - San Martín de Burzaco	1:0 ✺
15.03.23	Excursionistas - Ferrocarril Midland	1:4 ✺
10.03.23	Ferrocarril Midland - Deportivo Laferrere	2:1 ✺
04.03.23	Victoriano Arenas - Ferrocarril Midland	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 TWWWW
- Justo José de Urquiza
Argentinian Primera C
27.03.23	Justo José de Urquiza - Atlético Claypole	0:0 ✺
21.03.23	Deportivo Español - Justo José de Urquiza	0:1 ✺
15.03.23	Justo José de Urquiza - Sportivo Italiano	1:0 ✺
10.03.23	Berazategui - Justo José de Urquiza	2:2 ✺
04.03.23	Justo José de Urquiza - Club Luján	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 TWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera C
10.04.18	Justo José de Urquiza - Ferrocarril Midland	1:3
12.11.17	Ferrocarril Midland - Justo José de Urquiza	1:2
02.05.17	Justo José de Urquiza - Ferrocarril Midland	0:1
17.10.16	Ferrocarril Midland - Justo José de Urquiza	2:1
11.06.16	Justo José de Urquiza - Ferrocarril Midland	2:1

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