Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 16 - Round 14

Date: 14 December 2025, Sunday


	Berceo		Oyonesa

	1	X	2
	3.8	3.35	1.82
	4.25	3.43	1.78
	4.25	3.42	1.79	Watch
	4	3.3	1.8
	4.28	3.55	1.81
	4.33	3.5	1.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.15 ↑ (3.37)	3.43 ↑ (3.25)	1.79 ↓ (2.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Berceo
22%

Draw
26.7%

Oyonesa
51.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27%

28%

45%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.5%

27.5%

45.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Berceo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

Oyonesa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Oyonesa's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Berceo than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oyonesa than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Oyonesa, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Berceo - Oyonesa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
24', 0 - 1, ⚽,
38', 0 - 2, ⚽,
44', 1 - 2, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
61', 2 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 15 and 7).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Berceo won 3.

Berceo has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Oyonesa's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Berceo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Oyonesa could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Berceo won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 17:17. (average 1.3:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Berceo won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:10. (average 0.7:1.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Berceo
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16
23.11.25	Berceo - Anguiano	1:1 ✺
16.11.25	Haro Deportivo - Berceo	3:0 ✺
08.11.25	Berceo - Agoncillo	1:6 ✺
02.11.25	Villegas - Berceo	1:0 ✺
26.10.25	Berceo - Calahorra	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.5 TLLLW
- SD Oyonesa
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16
06.12.25	Oyonesa - UD Logroñés Promesas	1:2 ✺
22.11.25	Oyonesa - Yagüe	0:1 ✺
16.11.25	Pradejón - Oyonesa	1:2 ✺
02.11.25	Haro Deportivo - Oyonesa	2:2 ✺
26.10.25	Oyonesa - Agoncillo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16
06.04.25	Oyonesa - Berceo	1:2
24.11.24	Berceo - Oyonesa	0:1
02.03.24	Berceo - Oyonesa	1:0
15.10.23	Oyonesa - Berceo	2:0
05.02.23	Oyonesa - Berceo	1:2
02.10.22	Berceo - Oyonesa	1:1
03.04.22	Berceo - Oyonesa	1:2

Berceo - Oyonesa: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide